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Low ipilimumab trough concentration linked to worse progression-free survival in metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma

Low ipilimumab trough concentration linked to worse progression-free survival in metastatic clear ce…
Photo by Brett Jordan / Unsplash
Key Takeaway
Recognize prospective validation in larger cohorts or phase 3 trials is essential prior to implementation.

This randomized phase 2 trial included 110 patients with metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma. The cohort consisted of 39 patients in the nivolumab monotherapy group and 71 patients in the nivolumab plus ipilimumab group. Follow-up duration was week 6 after treatment start.

Investigators analyzed nivolumab trough plasma concentrations and ipilimumab trough plasma concentrations. In the nivolumab monotherapy group, low nivolumab concentrations below the median were not identified as an independent risk factor for progression (HR 2.03, 95% CI [0.93-4.44]; p=0.076). Similarly, in the nivolumab plus ipilimumab group, low nivolumab concentrations were not identified as an independent risk factor (HR 1.06, 95% CI [0.63-1.79]; p=0.83).

However, low ipilimumab concentrations below 4.9 µg/mL were independently associated with worse progression-free survival in the combination group (HR 1.77, 95% CI [1.03-3.05]; p=0.040). Neither nivolumab trough plasma concentrations nor ipilimumab trough plasma concentrations were associated with risk of death. Additionally, neither drug concentration was associated with grade ≥ 3 TRAEs occurrence. Adverse events, serious adverse events, discontinuations, and tolerability were not reported.

Prospective validation of efficacy threshold in larger cohorts or phase 3 trials is essential prior to implementation. Practice relevance indicates prospective validation essential prior to implementation of pharmacokinetically guided strategy. The study suggests an exposure-response relationship for efficacy of ipilimumab, though association versus causation was not explicitly distinguished.

Study Details

Study typeRct
EvidenceLevel 2
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: We aimed to investigate the exposure-response (E/R) relationship for ipilimumab and nivolumab in metastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma (m-ccRCC) patients from the randomised phase 2 BIONIKK trial (EudraCT 2016-003099-28). METHODS: This study included patients treated with either single-agent nivolumab (Nivo monotherapy group, n = 39) or nivolumab plus ipilimumab (Ipi/Nivo group, n = 71). Trough plasma concentrations (C) were assayed at week 6 after treatment start. Cox proportional hazard and logistic regression models were used to investigate the E/R relationship between C and clinical outcomes. RESULTS: Low nivolumab C (<median) was not identified as an independent risk factor for progression in either the Nivo monotherapy group (HR 2.03, 95% CI [0.93-4.44]; p = 0.076) or the Ipi/Nivo group (HR 1.06, 95% CI [0.63-1.79]; p = 0.83). Interestingly, low ipilimumab C (<4.9 µg/mL) was independently associated with worse PFS in the Ipi/Nivo group (HR 1.77, 95% CI [1.03-3.05]; p = 0.040). In both groups, neither nivolumab C nor ipilimumab C was associated with the risk of death or grade ≥ 3 TRAEs occurrence. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests an E-R relationship for the efficacy of ipilimumab in m-ccRCC patients treated in combination with nivolumab. Prospective validation of our efficacy threshold in larger cohorts or phase 3 trials is essential prior to the implementation of a pharmacokinetically guided strategy.
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