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Low OT-NLR predicts superior survival in recurrent/metastatic HNSCC treated with cetuximab plus nivolumab

Low OT-NLR predicts superior survival in recurrent/metastatic HNSCC treated with cetuximab plus nivo…
Photo by Markus Spiske / Unsplash
Key Takeaway
Consider low OT-NLR as a potential biomarker for superior outcomes in HNSCC patients receiving cetuximab plus nivolumab.

This Phase II clinical trial investigated patients with recurrent and/or metastatic head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with the combination of cetuximab and nivolumab. The study analyzed the association between peripheral blood OT-NLR levels and clinical outcomes over a follow-up period of 24.0 months. The primary outcome was overall survival (OS), with secondary outcomes including progression-free survival (PFS) and overall response. Safety and tolerability data were not reported in this publication.

Patients with low OT-NLR demonstrated superior overall survival compared with those with high OT-NLR, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.32 (95% CI, 0.17-0.61). Similarly, low OT-NLR was associated with superior progression-free survival (HR 0.45; 95% CI, 0.25-0.81) and superior overall response (P <0.001). A higher proportion of patients with low OT-NLR achieved OS of 24 months or longer compared with high OT-NLR (P =0.0001). Additionally, low pretreatment T-NLR correlated with superior overall response (P =0.011). Absolute numbers for these outcomes were not reported.

No specific adverse events, serious adverse events, discontinuations, or tolerability data were reported in the input. The study did not report funding sources or conflicts of interest. Key limitations include the lack of a comparator arm and the absence of absolute numbers for survival and response rates. The observational nature of the biomarker analysis precludes causal conclusions regarding the drug regimen itself.

Further evaluation of T-NLR to improve patient selection and peripheral blood OT-NLR as a dynamic biomarker contributing to clinical benefit assessment given cetuximab and nivolumab is warranted. Clinicians should interpret these results as exploratory associations rather than definitive predictors of treatment efficacy in this specific setting.

Study Details

Study typePhase2
EvidenceLevel 3
Follow-up24.0 mo
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
OBJECTIVES: We report on the biomarker analyses focusing on neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratios (NLR) in patients with recurrent and/or metastatic (R/M) head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with combined cetuximab and nivolumab. METHODS: Data were obtained from a phase II trial (NCT03370276). Peripheral blood NLR was obtained at baseline (B-NLR) and on-treatment (OT-NLR; 1 mo from treatment initiation). Tumor NLR (T-NLR) was determined by staining of immune cells in primary tumors. Patients were stratified into high (≥median) or low NLR (<median). The association between NLR with survival outcomes was evaluated. RESULTS: While B-NLR did not correlate with survival or responses, low OT-NLR was associated with superior overall survival (OS; P <0.0001), progression-free survival (PFS; P =0.0002), and overall response ( P <0.001) compared with high OT-NLR. Multivariable analysis further demonstrated that low OT-NLR was associated with superior OS (HR 0.32, 95% CI, 0.17-0.61) and PFS (HR 0.45, 95% CI, 0.25-0.81). Compared with patients with high OT-NLR, a higher proportion of patients with low OT-NLR had OS≥24 months ( P =0.0001). Low OT-NLR was associated with higher baseline PD-L1 combined positive scores ( P =0.037). Low pretreatment T-NLR was associated with superior OS and PFS in multivariable analysis and correlated with superior overall response ( P =0.011). CONCLUSIONS: Low OT-NLR and pretreatment T-NLR correlated with superior treatment outcomes in patients with R/M HNSCC treated with cetuximab and nivolumab. Further evaluation of T-NLR to improve patient selection and peripheral blood OT-NLR as a dynamic biomarker contributing to clinical benefit assessment given cetuximab and nivolumab is warranted.
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