This meta-analysis and systematic review assessed predictors of pathological upstaging in patients with clinical stage T1 (cT1) renal cell carcinoma. The analysis included 24,957 patients to determine factors associated with progression to pT3a disease. No specific setting or follow-up duration was reported for the included studies.
The overall incidence of pathological upstaging to pT3a was 7.46%. Several variables were identified as independent predictors of this outcome. Male gender was associated with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.067 (95% CI: 1.029–1.107; p=0.001). Advanced age showed an OR of 1.029 (95% CI: 1.02–1.038; p=0.0001), and a BMI of 1.016 (95% CI: 1.004–1.027; p=0.0001) per unit increase.
Clinically significant predictors included cT1b stage (OR: 5.865; 95% CI: 3.711–9.267; p=0.0001), presence of clinical symptoms (OR: 1.987; 95% CI: 1.439–2.744; p=0.0001), a RENAL score of 7-9 (OR: 2.480; 95% CI: 1.516–4.058; p=0.0001), necrosis on imaging (OR: 2.347; 95% CI: 1.570–3.509; p=0.0001), irregular margins (OR: 2.874; 95% CI: 1.760–4.693; p=0.0001), and hilus involvement (OR: 2.134; 95% CI: 1.367–3.333; p=0.001).
Regarding recurrence, unadjusted meta-analysis results indicated a hazard ratio (HR) of 3.50 (95% CI: 2.00–6.13). After multivariable adjustment, the HR was 2.60 (95% CI: 1.86–3.64). Safety data, adverse events, and tolerability were not reported. Limitations regarding study design and potential confounding factors were not detailed in the provided data. Current evidence suggests that nine variables, including advanced age, gender, and irregular margins, may be predictors of postoperative pathological upstaging of cT1 RCC.
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BackgroundThe potential predictors and clinical implications of postoperative pathological upstaging in patients with clinical stage T1 (cT1) renal cell carcinoma (RCC) remain insufficiently characterized.MethodsThis systematic review was performed in accordance with the PRISMA guidelines. Databases including PubMed, Web of Science and Embase databases were searched. A total of 17 studies (involving 24957 patients) were included, and relevant factors were analyzed from the perspectives of patients’ baseline characteristics, pathology, and imaging findings.ResultA total of 17 studies involving 24,957 patients were included. The overall incidence of pathological upstaging was 7.46%. Through combined qualitative and quantitative analysis, we identified the following independent risk associated factors for pathological upstaging to pT3a: male gender (OR: 1.067; 95% CI: 1.029–1.107;p=0.001), age (OR = 1.029; 95% CI: 1.02–1.038;p = 0.0001), BMI (OR:1.016;95% CI: 1.004–1.027;p=0.0001),cT1b (OR: 5.865; 95% CI: 3.711- 9.267; p = 0.0001),presence of clinical symptoms(OR:1.987; 95% CI: 1.439- 2.744; p = 0.0001), RENAL score= 7-9 (OR = 2.480; 95% CI: 1.516–4.058;p = 0.0001),necrosis on imaging(OR = 2.347;95% CI: 1.570–3.509;p = 0.0001), irregular margins (OR = 2.874; 95% CI: 1.760–4.693;p = 0.0001)and Hilus involvement (OR = 2.134;95%CI: 1.367-3.333;p = 0.001).Furthermore, the unadjusted meta-analysis results indicated an increased risk of recurrence in patients who upstaged to pT3a (HR = 3.50,95% CI = 2.00-6.13). After multivariable adjustment, the association remained consistent and in the same direction (HR = 2.60,95% CI = 1.86-3.64).ConclusionCurrent evidence suggests that 9 variables, including advanced age, gender, and irregular margins may be predictors of postoperative pathological upstaging of cT1 RCC.Systematic review registrationhttps://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/, identifier CRD420250640397.