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Can a chest X-ray show how fast your lungs are aging?

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Can a chest X-ray show how fast your lungs are aging?
Photo by CDC / Unsplash

What if a routine chest X-ray could tell you more than just whether you have a spot or an infection? Researchers looked back at over 23,000 people who had chest X-rays as part of a major cancer screening trial. They used a computer to estimate how 'old' a person's lungs looked on that X-ray—a measure called age acceleration. They then followed people for an average of nearly 17 years.

They found that people whose lungs appeared biologically older on the X-ray had a slightly higher chance of developing lung cancer later. For every standard jump in this 'lung age' score, the risk went up by about 10%. This link held true even after accounting for well-known risks like smoking.

But here's the important caveat: adding this new measure to the existing tools doctors use to predict lung cancer risk didn't actually make those predictions any better. The study was also a retrospective look at data from a specific trial, which means we can't say the aging lungs caused the cancer—only that the two were associated. It's a fascinating clue about how our bodies age, but it's not yet a tool for changing how we screen for cancer.

What this means for you:
Older-looking lungs on an X-ray linked to higher cancer risk, but doesn't improve current prediction.
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