Ensemble MLLM strategies improve diagnostic performance for paediatric pneumonia on CXRs

Background: Paediatric pneumonia is a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality worldwide. Chest X-rays (CXR) are an important diagnostic tool in the diagnosis of pneumonia, but shortages in specialist radiology services lead to clinically significant delays in CXR reporting. The ability to communicate findings both to clinicians and laypersons allows MLLMs to be deployed throughout clinical workflows, from image analysis to patient communication. However, MLLMs currently underperform state-of-the-art deep learning classifiers. Objective: To evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of ensemble strategies with MLLMs compared to the baseline average agent for paediatric radiological pneumonia detection. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using paediatric CXRs from two independent hospital datasets totalling 2300 CXRs. Fifteen MedGemma-4B-it agents independently classified each CXR into five pneumonia likelihood categories. Majority voting, soft voting, and GPTOSS-20B aggregation were compared against the average agent performance. The primary metric evaluated was OvR AUROC. Secondary metrics included accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1-score, Cohen's kappa, and OvO AUROC. Results: Soft voting achieved improvements in OvR AUROC (p_balanced = 0.0002, p_real-world = 0.0003), accuracy (p_balanced = 0.0008, p_real-world < 0.0001), Cohen's Kappa (p_balanced = 0.0006, p_real-world = 0.0054) and OvO AUROC (p_balanced < 0.0001, p_real-world = 0.0011) across both datasets, and a superior F1-value (pbalanced = 0.0028) for the balanced dataset. Conclusion: Soft voting enhances MedGemma's diagnostic discriminatory performance for paediatric radiological pneumonia detection. Our system enables privacy-preserving, near real-time clinical decision support with explainable outputs, having potential for integration into emergency departments. Our system's high specificity supports triage by flagging high-risk radiological pneumonia cases.