Multi-task deep learning model predicts induction chemotherapy response and survival in locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma.

Predicting response to induction chemotherapy (IC) and overall survival (OS) is critical for optimizing treatment in patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC). This study aimed to develop and validate a multi-task deep learning model integrating pretreatment MRI and whole slide images (WSIs) to predict IC response and OS in LANPC. Pretreatment MRI and WSIs from 404 patients with LANPC were retrospectively collected to construct a multi-task model (MoEMIL) for the simultaneous prediction of early IC response and OS. MoEMIL employed multi-instance learning to process WSIs, PyRadiomics and a convolutional neural network (ResNet50) to extract MRI features, and fused multimodal features through a multi-gate mixture-of-experts architecture. Clustering-constrained attention multiple instance learning and gradient-weighted class activation mapping were applied for visualization and interpretation. MoEMIL effectively stratified patients into good and poor IC response groups, achieving areas under the curve of 0.917, 0.869, and 0.801 in the train, validation, and test sets, respectively, and outperformed the deep learning radiomics model, the pathomics model and TNM staging. The model also stratified patients into high- and low-risk OS groups (P < 0.05). MoEMIL shows promise as a decision-support tool for early IC response prediction and prognostication in LANPC. Author SummaryWe have developed a deep learning model that integrates two types of medical images, including magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and digital pathological slices, to simultaneously predict response to induction chemotherapy and prognosis in patients with locally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Current treatment decisions primarily rely on traditional tumor staging (TNM), which often fails to comprehensively reflect the complexity of the disease. Our model, named MoEMIL, was trained and tested on data from 404 patients across two hospitals and consistently outperformed both single-model approaches and TNM staging methods. By identifying patients who exhibit poor response to induction chemotherapy or higher prognostic risk, our tool can assist clinicians in achieving personalized treatment, enabling intensified management for high-risk patients and avoiding unnecessary side effects for low-risk patients. Additionally, we visualize the models reasoning process through heat map generation, which highlights the image regions exerting the greatest influence on prediction outcomes. This work represents a step toward more precise treatment for nasopharyngeal carcinoma; however, larger-scale prospective studies are required before the model can be integrated into routine clinical practice.