Secondary Analysis Review Quantifying Fiber Disconnections Predicts Outcomes in Basilar Artery Occlusion

Background: Acute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) causes devastating strokes. Despite the benefit of endovascular treatment, the optimal management remains sometimes controversial, such as for patients with mild deficits, and would benefit from robust prognostic tools. Given the dense white matter networks within the posterior fossa, we tested whether quantifying disconnections from acute diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) could improve outcome prediction and responders to recanalization compared with conventional metrics. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis from a prospective multicenter stroke registry, including consecutive patients (2017-2024) with BAO and admission MRI. Ultra-high-resolution diffusion MRI was acquired in healthy participants to build normative tractograms with optimized posterior fossa quality. Patient infarcts delineated on DWI were projected onto these tractograms to estimate disconnected fiber volume. The primary outcome was 90-day modified Rankin Scale (mRS) 0-3 vs 4-6. Predictive performance of disconnected fiber volume was compared with baseline NIHSS, infarct volume, and posterior circulation ASPECTS (pc-ASPECTS) using logistic regressions and areas under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC). Ordinal regressions tested associations across the full mRS spectrum, stratified by recanalization status. Analyses were repeated in patients with NIHSS [&le;]10. Results: Among 201 patients (median age 70; NIHSS 10), 97 (48.3%) had poor outcome. Despite small median infarct volume (4.75 mL), disconnected fiber volume was substantial (median 25.15 mL). Disconnected fiber volume achieved an AUC of 0.84, outperforming NIHSS (0.67; p<0.0001), infarct volume (0.75; p=0.00059), and pc-ASPECTS (0.76; p=0.0127). Low disconnected fiber volume predicted better outcomes across the full mRS (OR=0.12 [95% CI, 0.065-0.204]) and greater benefit from successful recanalization (OR=0.33 [95% CI, 0.15-0.70]). In patients with NIHSS [&le;]10 (n=102), disconnected fiber volume remained the strongest predictor (AUC=0.83). Conclusions: Disconnected fiber volume derived indirectly is a robust prognostic marker of BAO outcomes that outperforms conventional predictors and may support future treatment decisions. Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov - NCT03776877.