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Meta-analysis identifies clinical signs associated with sepsis and mortality in young infantsWhich signs in a newborn's cry or feeding best warn of life-threatening infection?

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Key Takeaway
Consider these clinical sign associations when assessing young infants in resource-limited settings.

This systematic review and meta-analysis pooled data from 52 observational studies involving 140,885 young infants aged 0 to 59 days in resource-limited settings. Researchers examined associations between 24 clinical signs (informed by WHO IMCI and hospital-based algorithms) and three outcomes: all-cause mortality, culture-confirmed sepsis, and clinical sepsis. The analysis used random-effects models and quality assessment tools including Newcastle-Ottawa, QUADAS-2, and QUAPAS scales.

Sixteen clinical signs showed significant associations with mortality, with the five strongest being: weak/absent cry (OR 20.48, 95% CI not reported), not able to feed at all (OR 18.32), not feeding well (OR 13.39), drowsiness/unconsciousness (OR 12.46), and prolonged capillary refill (OR 12.06). Eleven signs were significantly associated with culture-confirmed sepsis, and 13 with clinical sepsis. All current WHO IMCI clinical signs were significantly associated with mortality or culture-confirmed sepsis.

Safety and tolerability data were not reported in the meta-analysis. The study has several important limitations: it reports associations from observational data rather than causation, absolute event rates are not provided, and findings are specific to resource-limited settings where clinical algorithms serve as primary diagnostic tools. The analysis identified several signs not currently in WHO IMCI guidelines that may improve identification of life-threatening illness in these settings.

For practice, these findings reinforce the value of existing WHO IMCI clinical signs while suggesting potential additions to algorithms used where laboratory diagnostics are unavailable. Clinicians should interpret these as associations rather than definitive diagnostic criteria, recognizing they derive from observational data in specific healthcare contexts.

When a newborn gets sick in a place with few medical resources, doctors and parents must rely on what they can see and hear. A major review of 52 studies, involving over 140,000 infants under two months old, has now clarified which visible signs are most strongly linked to the gravest dangers: sepsis and death. The analysis found that 16 different clinical signs were significantly associated with mortality. The five strongest warnings were a weak or absent cry, not being able to feed at all, not feeding well, being drowsy or unconscious, and having prolonged capillary refill (where the skin takes too long to regain color after being pressed).

For culture-confirmed sepsis, 11 signs showed a significant link, with many of the same top warnings appearing. The findings confirm that all the signs currently used in the World Health Organization's guidelines are indeed valuable red flags. They also highlight several additional signs that could help spot sick infants even earlier in these challenging settings.

It's crucial to understand what this study does and does not tell us. These are associations observed by pooling data from many past studies; they do not prove that a specific sign causes death or infection. The research was conducted specifically in resource-limited settings, where these visual and tactile checks are the primary diagnostic tools. The results don't provide absolute risk numbers—they tell us which signs are more strongly linked to bad outcomes relative to others. This work helps focus attention on the most critical warnings, giving caregivers in tough situations a clearer picture of where to direct their most urgent concern.

What this means for you:
A baby's weak cry and severe feeding trouble are the strongest warning signs for fatal infection where labs are scarce.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
Sample sizen = 885
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
IMPORTANCE: Early and accurate identification of clinical warning signs in young infants may help avert sepsis morbidity and mortality in resource-limited settings. OBJECTIVE: To systematically review evidence on the association and accuracy of clinical signs to diagnose sepsis or predict mortality in young infants aged 0 to 59 days to inform management in settings with limited laboratory diagnostics. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Global Index Medicus, and Cochrane CENTRAL Register were searched from inception through May 2023, with updated searches on September 5, 2024. An umbrella search of systematic reviews was conducted in January 2024. STUDY SELECTION: Included studies reported data on 24 infant clinical signs informed by current World Health Organization (WHO) Integrated Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) and hospital-based algorithms for the care of sick young infants reporting odds ratios (OR), risk ratios, or sensitivity and specificity. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Data were extracted independently by 2 reviewers. Quality assessment used the Newcastle-Ottawa, Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2), and Quality Assessment of Prognostic Accuracy Studies (QUAPAS) scales. OR data were pooled using random-effects models. Data analysis was performed from July to September 2025. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: OR of all-cause mortality, culture-confirmed sepsis, or clinical sepsis (with access to laboratory investigations). RESULTS: Of 7641 studies, 52 studies with 140 885 participants were included. A total of 16 clinical signs were significantly associated with mortality, 11 with culture-confirmed sepsis, and 13 with clinical sepsis. For mortality, the 5 strongest associations were weak, abnormal, or absent cry (OR, 20.48; 95% CI, 6.59-63.67); not able to feed at all (OR, 18.32; 95% CI, 6.00-55.97); not feeding well (OR, 13.39; 95% CI, 6.97-25.72); drowsiness or unconsciousness (OR, 12.46; 95% CI, 6.06-25.62); and prolonged capillary refill (OR, 12.06; 95% CI, 2.77-52.53). The top 5 signs associated with culture-confirmed sepsis were not feeding well (OR, 4.52; 95% CI, 1.10-18.59); prolonged capillary refill (OR, 3.59; 95% CI, 2.05-6.28); lethargy (OR, 3.44; 95% CI, 1.89-6.26); drowsiness or unconsciousness (OR, 3.07; 95% CI, 2.01-4.68); and feeding intolerance (OR, 2.95; 95% CI, 1.67-5.21). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: All current WHO IMCI clinical signs were significantly associated with mortality or culture-confirmed sepsis. Several signs not in IMCI were identified that may improve identification of life-threatening illness in young infants in resource-limited settings where clinical sign algorithms are the primary diagnostic tool.
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