This observational cohort study enrolled 134 individuals divided into six distinct cohorts with different exposures in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. Serum samples were tested using Mesoscale Discovery (MSD) to screen for five MPXV and vaccinia virus (VACV) orthologous antigens: A29L/A27L, A35R/A33R, B6R/B5R, E8L/D8L, and M1R/L1R. The primary objective was the establishment of antigen-specific serological cutoff values to differentiate MPXV-seroreactive individuals from those with other orthopoxvirus (OPXV) exposure or different vaccination histories.
The study reported specific cutoff values for three antigens. The E8L antigen cutoff was 12.33 AU/mL, the A35R antigen cutoff was 5.22 AU/mL, and the B6R antigen cutoff was 9.77 AU/mL. Secondary outcomes included the differentiation between the mpox survivor cohort and other OPXV-exposed individuals, as well as the evaluation of a binary composite rule to improve classification.
Safety and tolerability data were not reported for adverse events, serious adverse events, discontinuations, or general tolerability. The study did not report p-values, confidence intervals, or effect sizes for the primary outcomes. Limitations regarding the generalizability of these cutoff values to other populations or settings were not explicitly detailed in the provided data. The findings are based on a single cohort study with a total sample size of 134.
View Original Abstract ↓
Mpox virus (MPXV) gained increased attention following the declaration of two Public Health Emergencies of International Concern (PHEICs) in 2022 and 2024. The rapid spread of MPXV and the increase in human-to-human transmission highlighted the need for improved diagnostic tools for characterizing infection patterns and transmission dynamics. While PCR is effective for detecting active infections, serological approaches can help identify previous or asymptomatic infections and support retrospective surveillance. However, many serological assays developed during recent outbreaks have not been evaluated in endemic settings such as the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). This study aims to define antigen-specific serological cutoff values to differentiate MPXV-seroreactive individuals from those with other orthopoxvirus (OPXV) exposure or different vaccination histories, specifically for use in the DRC. Here, we analyzed 134 individuals, divided into six distinct cohorts with different exposures. Serum samples were tested using Mesoscale Discovery (MSD) to screen for five MPXV and vaccinia virus (VACV) orthologous antigens: A29L/A27L, A35R/A33R, B6R/B5R, E8L/D8L, and M1R/L1R. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis identified the best-performing antigens and established seroreactivity cutoff values. A binary composite rule was also evaluated to improve the classification of these results. We identified three MPXV antigens, E8L (cut-off=12.33 AU/mL), A35R (cut-off=5.22 AU/mL), and B6R (cut-off=9.77 AU/mL), that showed the strongest discriminatory performance in the dataset. Collectively, these three antigens form a significant panel that demonstrated clear separation between our mpox survivor cohort and other OPXV-exposed individuals.