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Antibiotic exposure is associated with shorter overall survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients on ICIsAntibiotic use linked to shorter survival in liver cancer patients

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Key Takeaway
Note that antibiotic exposure is associated with significantly shorter overall survival in HCC patients on ICI therapy.

This meta-analysis evaluated the impact of antibiotic exposure on clinical outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). The study analyzed a total population of 3,643 patients to determine if antibiotic use influenced survival and response rates in this specific oncology cohort.

The primary outcome measured was overall survival (OS). The analysis included 761 patients who were exposed to antibiotics. The results indicated that the median OS for the antibiotic-exposed group was 12.2 months, which was significantly shorter than the 17.0 months observed in the non-exposed group. This finding was supported by a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.29 (95% CI [1.17-1.41]).

Secondary outcomes included progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR). For progression-free survival, the median PFS in the antibiotic-exposed group was 5.2 months, compared to 7.5 months in the non-exposed group. This resulted in an HR of 1.27 (95% CI [1.01-1.59]). However, the study noted that the association between antibiotic exposure and progression-free survival was not robust in sensitivity analyses. Regarding objective response rate (ORR) and disease control rate (DCR), the analysis found no significant differences between the exposed and non-exposed groups.

Safety and tolerability data, including specific adverse event rates, serious adverse events, or treatment discontinuations, were not reported in the data provided for this analysis. Consequently, the specific tolerability of the concurrent antibiotic regimens cannot be quantified from this evidence.

These findings contribute to the understanding of how systemic factors, such as antibiotic exposure, may influence the efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibitors in HCC. While the primary outcome of overall survival showed a clear association with shorter survival in the exposed group, the lack of significant differences in ORR and DCR suggests that the impact of antibiotics may manifest in long-term survival rather than immediate response rates. Methodological limitations include the fact that the underlying data were derived from retrospective cohort studies, which may introduce selection bias. Furthermore, the association regarding progression-free survival was not robust in sensitivity analyses, suggesting that the impact on PFS is less certain than the impact on OS. The lack of reported safety data also limits the ability to assess the specific risks of concurrent antibiotic use.

Clinically, these results suggest that antibiotic exposure is significantly associated with reduced overall survival in HCC patients receiving ICI therapy. This may prompt clinicians to evaluate the necessity and duration of antibiotic courses in patients undergoing immunotherapy. However, because the study is a meta-analysis of retrospective data, the results indicate an association rather than a direct causal link. Questions remain regarding the specific types of antibiotics or the duration of exposure that contribute most significantly to these outcomes.

How this fits prior evidence

How this fits prior evidence This finding addresses a gap in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma by identifying a specific clinical factor, antibiotic exposure, that correlates with poorer outcomes in patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors. While previous evidence has explored surgical interventions like hepatectomy plus splenectomy to improve survival, this study highlights how non-surgical factors may influence the efficacy of systemic immunotherapy in the same cancer type.

Living with liver cancer, specifically a type called hepatocellular carcinoma, is a heavy burden. When doctors use immunotherapy, known as immune checkpoint inhibitors, they are trying to help the patient's own immune system fight the cancer. However, a new look at the data suggests that a common factor, the use of antibiotics, might change how well these treatments work for patients. This finding is important because it could help doctors better understand how different medications interact and how to best support patients during their treatment journey.

To get a clearer picture, researchers looked at data from 3,643 patients with liver cancer who were receiving these immunotherapy drugs. They compared two groups: those who were exposed to antibiotics and those who were not. By looking at these large numbers, the researchers were able to see patterns that might not be obvious in just a few patients. They specifically looked at how long patients lived and how long their cancer stayed stable.

The results showed a notable difference in survival. Patients who were exposed to antibiotics had a median overall survival of about 12.2 months. In contrast, patients who were not exposed to antibiotics lived for a median of 17 months. This means the group taking antibiotics lived about 5 months less on average. The study also looked at progression-free survival, which is the amount of time a patient lives without their cancer getting worse. In that category, the group without antibiotics lasted 7.5 months, while the group with antibiotics lasted 5.2 months.

While these numbers show a clear link, it is important to be careful with how we interpret them. This study is a meta-analysis, which means it combines results from several previous studies. It shows an association, but it does not prove that antibiotics directly cause the shorter survival. There could be other reasons why patients who need antibiotics also have different outcomes. Additionally, the data regarding how long the cancer stayed stable was not very consistent in some of the deeper checks of the data.

For patients right now, this does not mean that antibiotics are dangerous or should be avoided. Antibiotics are necessary to treat infections. Instead, this information serves as a signal for doctors and researchers. It highlights the need to look closer at how different types of medications interact in the body. For now, patients should continue to follow their specific treatment plans with their medical team, who can weigh the risks and benefits of every medication based on the individual's health needs.

What this means for you:
Patients with liver cancer on immunotherapy showed shorter survival times if they were also exposed to antibiotics.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
Sample sizen = 3,643
EvidenceLevel 1
Follow-up12.2 mo
PublishedJan 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
OBJECTIVE: Patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are frequently exposed to antibiotics. This study aims to evaluate the impact of antibiotic use on the survival outcomes of HCC patients treated with ICIs. METHODS: This study followed the PRISMA guidelines and systematically retrieved literature from PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases up to August 7, 2026. Studies comparing the clinical outcomes (overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), and disease control rate (DCR)) of HCC patients receiving ICI treatment with and without antibiotic exposure were included. The quality of the studies was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Before conducting the meta-analysis, the original hazard ratios (HRs)/odd ratios (ORs) and their 95% CIs were log-transformed to achieve a normal distribution. Statistical analysis was performed using Stata 15 software, and pooled HRs/ORs with 95% CIs were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 12 retrospective cohort studies were included, involving 3,643 patients (761 exposed to antibiotics). The results showed that the median OS of the antibiotic-exposed group (12.2 months) was shorter than that of the non-exposed group (17.0 months). The meta-analysis indicated that antibiotic use was significantly associated with poorer OS (HR = 1.29, 95% CI [1.17-1.41]). Sensitivity analyses confirmed the robustness of the OS finding. In terms of PFS, the median PFS of the antibiotic-exposed group (5.2 months) was shorter than that of the non-exposed group (7.5 months), and antibiotic use was also significantly associated with poorer PFS (HR = 1.27, 95% CI [1.01-1.59]), although this association was not robust in sensitivity analyses. The analyses of ORR and DCR did not show significant differences between the groups. No significant publication bias was detected on the basis of visual inspection of funnel plots and Egger's and Begg's tests. CONCLUSION: For HCC patients receiving ICI therapy, antibiotic exposure was significantly associated with reduced OS. A significant association with poorer PFS was also observed, although this finding was not robust in sensitivity analyses and should therefore be interpreted with caution. No statistically significant differences were observed for ORR or DCR.
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