Prospective study shows active surveillance yields high survival for small renal masses under 2 cm
This prospective multi-institutional study assessed active surveillance protocols with periodic axial imaging for patients aged over 50 years with asymptomatic, unilateral small renal masses under 2 cm. The cohort included 69 patients treated at five European centers. The primary outcome measured was event-free survival, with secondary outcomes including treatment-free survival, overall survival, and cancer-specific mortality. The median follow-up duration was 88 months.
At eight years, the event-free survival rate was 66%, and the treatment-free survival rate was 83%. Overall survival at eight years was 88%. Cancer-specific mortality was 9.6%, with one patient dying of metastatic renal cell carcinoma. The rate of active treatment was 17%.
The authors highlight that shorter tumor doubling time under 12 years and high RENAL scores were significantly associated with higher risks of events and treatment. Endophytic tumors and higher PADUA scores also predicted adverse outcomes. The study acknowledges that most evidence derives from retrospective registries, whereas prospective data remain limited. Generalizability beyond the specific population should not be overstated.