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Late-onset axial spondyloarthritis cases comprise 13.43% of cases with lower HLA-B27 positivityLate onset ankylosing spondylitis shows lower rates of HLA-B27

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Key Takeaway
Note that late-onset axSpA (age >45) occurs in 13.43% of cases and is associated with lower HLA-B27 positivity.

This meta-analysis synthesized data from clinical cohorts and registries to investigate the characteristics of axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) and ankylosing spondylitis (AS) based on the age of onset. The study specifically focused on identifying the prevalence of late-onset cases, defined as patients diagnosed at an age greater than 45 or equal to 45 years. The total sample size included in the analysis was 6,631 patients.

The primary outcome was the proportion of late-onset cases within the total population. The analysis determined that 745 out of 6,631 patients (13.43%) were classified as having late-onset axSpA or AS. This finding was associated with a 95% confidence interval of 9.23% to 19.14% and a prediction interval of 3.63% to 39.02%. Due to the high heterogeneity (I2=93.3%) and the wide prediction interval, the certainty of this specific proportion is rated as very low.

Secondary outcomes were evaluated to differentiate the clinical profile of late-onset cases from earlier-onset cases. The most consistent finding was regarding HLA-B27 positivity. Patients with late-onset axSpA or AS showed significantly lower HLA-B27 positivity compared to those with earlier-onset disease, with an odds ratio of 0.47 (95% CI 0.34 to 0.67) in a sample of 2,593. Other secondary outcomes, including male sex, radiographic sacroiliitis, radiographic axSpA, and supplementary BASDAI evidence, were found to be inconclusive. Specifically, the odds ratio for male sex was 0.66 (95% CI 0.32 to 1.33), the odds ratio for radiographic findings was 0.70 (95% CI 0.43 to 1.15), and the mean difference for BASDAI evidence was 1.45 (95% CI -1.18 to 4.09).

Safety and tolerability data were not reported, meaning specific adverse event rates or discontinuation rates for late-onset versus early-onset cohorts are not available.

These results contribute to the understanding of axSpA heterogeneity. While the study confirms that late-onset cases represent a distinct subset of the population, the high heterogeneity and wide prediction intervals suggest caution when applying these proportions to individual clinical predictions. The finding regarding HLA-B27 is the most consistent association, though it cannot be interpreted as a causal or definitive diagnostic tool for determining age of onset.

Methodological limitations include the high heterogeneity of 93.3% and the fact that HLA-B27 results were based on unadjusted comparisons. These factors contribute to the low certainty of the primary outcome.

Clinically, these findings suggest that while late-onset axSpA is a recognized subset, its prevalence is relatively low at 13.43%. The lower likelihood of HLA-B27 positivity in these patients may reflect different underlying pathophysiology or genetic drivers in older patients. However, because the HLA-B27 association cannot be used as a diagnostic tool, clinicians should not rely on genetic markers alone to determine the expected clinical course or age-related classification of a patient.

Questions remain regarding the specific clinical characteristics that differentiate these patients beyond HLA-B17 status, as several other markers like radiographic sacroiliitis and sex were inconclusive in this analysis.

How this fits prior evidence

How this fits prior evidence This meta-analysis addresses a gap in the clinical characterization of axSpA by specifically examining the prevalence and genetic markers of late-onset cases. While previous evidence has identified specific HLA-B alleles as markers for sulfasalazine-induced SCARs in Asian populations, this study provides a broader look at the HLA-B27 status in late-onset cases. The finding of lower HLA-B27 positivity in late-onset cases (OR 0.47) provides a specific profile for this subset of patients, though it does not replace the need for individualized management of axSpA.

Living with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) or axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) can be a journey of navigating chronic joint pain and stiffness. For many, these conditions are diagnosed in the teens or twenties, but many people do not receive a diagnosis until they are much older. Understanding how the disease behaves differently in older patients is important for doctors and patients alike as they look for ways to manage symptoms and plan for the future.

Researchers looked at data from over 6,600 patients with these conditions to see if there were differences between those who developed the disease early in life and those who developed it later. They specifically defined late-onset cases as those diagnosed at age 45 or older. By comparing these two groups, the researchers aimed to see if certain markers, like specific genes or physical signs, changed based on the age of diagnosis.

One of the most consistent findings was related to a specific gene called HLA-B27. This gene is often linked to certain types of inflammatory joint diseases. The study found that people with a late-onset diagnosis were significantly less likely to have this specific gene compared to those diagnosed younger. While this is a clear difference, the researchers noted that this finding cannot be used to diagnose a patient or prove a direct cause for the disease. Other factors, such as whether the patient was male or the amount of visible joint damage on X-rays, did not show a clear difference between the two groups.

It is important to keep these findings in perspective. The study had some limitations, including a wide range of data and a low level of certainty regarding the exact percentage of late-onset cases in the total population. Because the data came from many different sources, it can be hard to pinpoint exact patterns with total certainty.

For patients right now, this research does not change immediate treatment plans. It does, however, provide a clearer picture of how the disease can present differently depending on age. While the lower rate of the HLA-B27 gene in older patients is a notable finding, it is just one piece of a complex puzzle. Doctors will continue to use a variety of factors to treat and manage the condition for everyone, regardless of when their symptoms first began.

What this means for you:
Patients diagnosed with ankylosing spondylitis later in life are less likely to have the HLA-B27 gene.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
Sample sizen = 6,631
EvidenceLevel 1
Follow-up540.0 mo
PublishedSep 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
To estimate the proportion of late-onset ankylosing spondylitis (AS)/axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) cases defined by study-reported symptom, axial-symptom, or back-pain onset using > 45- or ≥ 45-year thresholds in clinical cohorts or registries, and to compare later- versus earlier-onset phenotypes. The nine original databases were searched through 20 August 2026, and DOAJ was added as a supplementary source. The prespecified primary study-family set was synthesised using a logistic-normal mixed model. Compatible phenotypes were pooled using REML random-effects models with Hartung-Knapp intervals. Risk of bias and certainty were assessed using design-matched tools and an adapted prognostic-factor framework. Fifty-four reports (42 independent studies) were included. Six prespecified study families contributed 745 late-onset cases among 6,631 patients with assessable onset age; the pooled proportion was 13.43% (95% CI 9.23%-19.14%; prediction interval 3.63%-39.02%; I²=93.3%; very low certainty). HLA-B27 positivity was lower with later onset (4 studies; n = 2,593; OR 0.47, 95% CI 0.34-0.67; I²=0%; moderate certainty). Male sex (5 studies; OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.32-1.33), radiographic sacroiliitis/radiographic axSpA (3 studies; OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.43-1.15), and supplementary BASDAI evidence (3 studies; MD 1.45, 95% CI - 1.18 to 4.09) were inconclusive. Other incompatible phenotypes were not pooled. Late-onset cases averaged approximately 13% in included cohorts and registries, but heterogeneity was high, the prediction interval wide, and certainty very low. Lower HLA-B27 positivity was the most consistent association but relied on four unadjusted comparisons and cannot be interpreted causally or diagnostically. PROSPERO registration: CRD420261469724 (https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD420261469724).
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