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N/A N=5,035 Randomized Health Services Research

Reducing VA No-Shows: Evaluation of Predictive Overbooking Applied to Colonoscopy

Colon Cancer

Enrolled (actual)
5,035
Serious AEs
0.0%
Results posted
Oct 2016
Primary outcome: Primary: Percentage of GI Clinic Capacity Filled — 99.6; 86.4 percentage of clinic capacity filled — p=<0.0001

Study Design & Population

Study type
Interventional
Phase
N/A
Interventions
Predictive no-show overbooking (Other)
Age
Adult, Older Adult · 18+ yrs
Sex
All
Sponsor
VA Office of Research and Development
Primary completion
Jul 2015

Outcome Measures

OutcomeResultp-value
PRIMARY
Percentage of GI Clinic Capacity Filled
99.6; 86.4 <0.0001 sig
SECONDARY
Scheduling-to-procedure Lag Time
8.3; 10.8 0.29
SECONDARY
Daily Service Denials ("Bumps")
0; 29 0.49
SECONDARY
Advanced Adenoma Detection/Cecal Intubation Rates
2.35; 2.88 0.05
SECONDARY
Length of Workday
8.31; 7.84 0.024 sig
SECONDARY
Cost Comparisons
63.01; 36.88 0.11

Summary

In this research study, investigators use colonoscopy as a case example to evaluate a predictive overbooking model derived using patient-level predictors of absenteeism. The no-show overbooking intervention employs a logistic regression model that uses patient data to predict the odds of no-showing with 80% accuracy. These projected no-show appointments will be overbooked by clerks for patients who agree to join a "fast track" short-call line. By rapidly processing endoscopy patients and moving them out of traditional slots, investigators predict more scheduling slots would become available for patients awaiting colonoscopy.

Eligibility Criteria

Inclusion Criteria

  • Patients who are scheduled for upper endoscopy and agree to the terms of "fast track" offer.

Exclusion Criteria

  • If a patient expresses concern about service denial, confusion about the bargain, or refuses to participate, the investigators will schedule these patients routinely.
View full record on ClinicalTrials.gov →

Data sourced from ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01639443). Outcome figures and adverse-event rates are extracted automatically from the registry's posted results and are provided for clinician reference, not as a substitute for the primary publication.

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