GLP-1 receptor agonists reduce new-onset heart failure risk in patients with diabetes or obesity
This systematic review and meta-analysis examined the effect of GLP-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) on preventing new-onset heart failure in patients without HF. It pooled data from six randomized, placebo-controlled trials involving 52,752 participants with Type 2 diabetes or obesity. The primary outcome was time to first HF event (hospitalization or urgent visit).
The analysis found GLP-1 RA treatment significantly decreased the risk of new-onset heart failure, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.77 (95% CI 0.65-0.93, p < 0.001). It also reduced the risk of a composite outcome of HF events or cardiovascular death (HR = 0.82, 95% CI 0.76-0.89, p < 0.001). The authors noted the effect on HF events was independent of changes in HbA1c or weight but correlated with the drugs' protective effects on major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Effects were more pronounced in studies restricted to patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and in trials with higher HF event incidence rates.
Key limitations include the absence of reported absolute event numbers or rates, which prevents calculation of absolute risk reduction or number needed to treat. Safety, tolerability, and discontinuation data were not reported. The duration of follow-up for the included trials was also not specified. Funding sources and author conflicts of interest were not reported. The practice relevance of these findings should be interpreted with caution, as the evidence is derived from a meta-analysis where effects varied by patient subgroup and underlying HF event risk.