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Edoxaban trough concentration and PT predict major bleeding in very old AF patients

Edoxaban trough concentration and PT predict major bleeding in very old AF patients
Photo by Towfiqu barbhuiya / Unsplash
Key Takeaway
Consider PT >13 seconds as a potential marker for increased bleeding risk in very old Japanese AF patients on low-dose edoxaban, but recognize this is exploratory.

This post hoc analysis of the ELDERCARE-AF randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluated the association between trough edoxaban concentration and major bleeding in 427 very old Japanese patients (aged 80 years or older) with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk. Patients received edoxaban 15 mg once daily or placebo. The analysis found that major bleeding incidence increased across edoxaban trough quartiles: 0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7% per year (p=0.0408). Additionally, patients with prothrombin time (PT) >13 seconds had a major bleeding rate of 4.61% per year versus 0.98% per year for those with PT ≤13 seconds (p=0.0060). A significant positive correlation between edoxaban trough and PT was observed (r=0.426, p<0.0001). Safety data beyond major bleeding were not reported. Key limitations include the post hoc design, restriction to very old Japanese patients, and the observational nature of the associations, which preclude causal conclusions. Clinically, PT >13 seconds may help identify patients at higher bleeding risk, but these findings are exploratory and should not change practice without further confirmation.

Study Details

Study typeRct
EvidenceLevel 2
PublishedMay 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: Edoxaban is a direct oral anticoagulant used for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and treatment of venous thromboembolism. We examined the relationship between trough edoxaban concentrations (E-trough) and prothrombin time (PT) and major bleeding in very old Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk. METHODS: In this post hoc analysis of the multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled ELDERCARE-AF (Study of DU-176b Aged 80 Years or Older) trial, patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to edoxaban 15 mg or placebo once daily. After 8 weeks of treatment, E-trough was determined and the incidence of major bleeding examined in each quartile. The incidence of major bleeding by PT was also examined. RESULTS: Data were obtained from 427 patients. E-trough (ng/mL) was ≤9.24 in the first quartile (107 patients), >9.24 to ≤13.6 in the second (111 patients), >13.6 to ≤21.6 in the third (103 patients), and >21.6 in the fourth (106 patients). Older age, lower body weight, lower creatinine clearance, and the presence of congestive heart failure were independent predictors of higher E-trough. Higher E-trough was associated with greater incidence of major bleeding (0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7%/year, respectively, =0.0408). There was a significant positive correlation between E-trough and PT (=0.426, <0.0001). Significantly more major bleeding events occurred in the longer (>13 seconds) versus shorter (≤13 seconds) PT subgroups (4.61% versus 0.98%/year, =0.0060). CONCLUSIONS: Several factors were associated with higher E-trough and increased risk of major bleeding events. PT >13 seconds may be a useful predictor of the development of major bleeding. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02801669.
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