Edoxaban trough concentration and PT predict major bleeding in very old AF patients
This post hoc analysis of the ELDERCARE-AF randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluated the association between trough edoxaban concentration and major bleeding in 427 very old Japanese patients (aged 80 years or older) with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk. Patients received edoxaban 15 mg once daily or placebo. The analysis found that major bleeding incidence increased across edoxaban trough quartiles: 0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7% per year (p=0.0408). Additionally, patients with prothrombin time (PT) >13 seconds had a major bleeding rate of 4.61% per year versus 0.98% per year for those with PT ≤13 seconds (p=0.0060). A significant positive correlation between edoxaban trough and PT was observed (r=0.426, p<0.0001). Safety data beyond major bleeding were not reported. Key limitations include the post hoc design, restriction to very old Japanese patients, and the observational nature of the associations, which preclude causal conclusions. Clinically, PT >13 seconds may help identify patients at higher bleeding risk, but these findings are exploratory and should not change practice without further confirmation.