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Edoxaban trough concentration and PT predict major bleeding in very old AF patientsBlood thinner levels linked to bleeding in very old patients

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Key Takeaway
Consider PT >13 seconds as a potential marker for increased bleeding risk in very old Japanese AF patients on low-dose edoxaban, but recognize this is exploratory.

This post hoc analysis of the ELDERCARE-AF randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial evaluated the association between trough edoxaban concentration and major bleeding in 427 very old Japanese patients (aged 80 years or older) with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk. Patients received edoxaban 15 mg once daily or placebo. The analysis found that major bleeding incidence increased across edoxaban trough quartiles: 0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7% per year (p=0.0408). Additionally, patients with prothrombin time (PT) >13 seconds had a major bleeding rate of 4.61% per year versus 0.98% per year for those with PT ≤13 seconds (p=0.0060). A significant positive correlation between edoxaban trough and PT was observed (r=0.426, p<0.0001). Safety data beyond major bleeding were not reported. Key limitations include the post hoc design, restriction to very old Japanese patients, and the observational nature of the associations, which preclude causal conclusions. Clinically, PT >13 seconds may help identify patients at higher bleeding risk, but these findings are exploratory and should not change practice without further confirmation.

A new analysis of a clinical trial suggests that higher blood levels of the blood thinner edoxaban may be linked to a greater risk of major bleeding in very old patients with atrial fibrillation. The study focused on 427 Japanese patients aged 80 years or older who had a high risk of bleeding. All were part of the ELDERCARE-AF trial, which compared a low dose of edoxaban (15 mg once daily) to a placebo.

Researchers measured edoxaban levels in the blood and divided patients into four groups from lowest to highest. They found that major bleeding occurred more often in patients with higher drug levels: about 0.8% per year in the lowest group, rising to 4.7% per year in the highest group. They also looked at a clotting test called prothrombin time (PT). Patients with a PT longer than 13 seconds had a higher rate of major bleeding (4.61% per year) compared to those with a shorter PT (0.98% per year).

It is important to note that this was a post hoc analysis, meaning the researchers looked back at data after the trial was over. This type of analysis can find associations but cannot prove that higher drug levels cause bleeding. The findings are also limited to very old Japanese patients and may not apply to other groups.

For now, the results suggest that monitoring PT might help identify very old patients at higher risk of bleeding while on edoxaban. However, no changes to clinical practice should be made based on this single analysis. Patients should continue taking their medications as prescribed and discuss any concerns with their doctor.

What this means for you:
Higher edoxaban levels may increase bleeding risk in very old patients, but this is an association, not proof.

Study Details

Study typeRct
EvidenceLevel 2
PublishedMay 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: Edoxaban is a direct oral anticoagulant used for stroke prevention in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and treatment of venous thromboembolism. We examined the relationship between trough edoxaban concentrations (E-trough) and prothrombin time (PT) and major bleeding in very old Japanese patients with atrial fibrillation and high bleeding risk. METHODS: In this post hoc analysis of the multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled ELDERCARE-AF (Study of DU-176b Aged 80 Years or Older) trial, patients were randomly assigned 1:1 to edoxaban 15 mg or placebo once daily. After 8 weeks of treatment, E-trough was determined and the incidence of major bleeding examined in each quartile. The incidence of major bleeding by PT was also examined. RESULTS: Data were obtained from 427 patients. E-trough (ng/mL) was ≤9.24 in the first quartile (107 patients), >9.24 to ≤13.6 in the second (111 patients), >13.6 to ≤21.6 in the third (103 patients), and >21.6 in the fourth (106 patients). Older age, lower body weight, lower creatinine clearance, and the presence of congestive heart failure were independent predictors of higher E-trough. Higher E-trough was associated with greater incidence of major bleeding (0.8%, 1.9%, 3.4%, and 4.7%/year, respectively, =0.0408). There was a significant positive correlation between E-trough and PT (=0.426, <0.0001). Significantly more major bleeding events occurred in the longer (>13 seconds) versus shorter (≤13 seconds) PT subgroups (4.61% versus 0.98%/year, =0.0060). CONCLUSIONS: Several factors were associated with higher E-trough and increased risk of major bleeding events. PT >13 seconds may be a useful predictor of the development of major bleeding. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02801669.
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