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Blood-based ctDNA tests show low sensitivity for advanced colorectal neoplasia in asymptomatic adultsBlood tests miss most early colon cancer signs in average-risk adults

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Key Takeaway
Consider that blood-based ctDNA tests have low sensitivity for detecting advanced colorectal neoplasia in asymptomatic adults.

This is a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based prospective studies evaluating blood-based circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) tests for detecting advanced colorectal neoplasia in asymptomatic, average-risk adults. The analysis pooled data from 36,381 participants, using colonoscopy and histopathology as the comparator.

The meta-analysis found that ctDNA tests had a sensitivity of 0.72 (95% CI 0.49-0.88) for invasive colorectal cancer (CRC) and a specificity of 0.91 (95% CI 0.89-0.92). The area under the curve for invasive CRC was 0.92. Sensitivity varied by stage, at 0.53 for stage I and 0.89 for stage IV. For advanced precancerous lesions, sensitivity was 0.13 (95% CI 0.12-0.14) and specificity was 0.90 (95% CI 0.88-0.91). The overall sensitivity for advanced colorectal neoplasia was 0.16 (95% CI 0.14-0.18), with a specificity of 0.91 (95% CI 0.89-0.92).

The authors acknowledge limitations, including the limited detection of precancerous lesions and the need for large-scale studies to confirm clinical and economic viability. Follow-up duration was not reported, and safety data were not reported. The practice relevance suggests ctDNA testing could increase participation and access in CRC prevention, but this is framed cautiously given the evidence gaps.

Doctors want to find colon cancer before it spreads. A new look at blood tests called ctDNA shows they can detect advanced colon cancer fairly well. They found these tests catch about 72 percent of invasive cases. That means they miss roughly 28 percent of serious cancers. The blood test also correctly identifies people without cancer about 91 percent of the time. This is good news for avoiding false alarms.

However, the blood test struggles with early warning signs. It found only 13 percent of advanced precancerous lesions. These are growths that could become cancer if left untreated. The overall ability to spot these early problems was very low. The test missed most of them. This is a major gap in current screening options.

The study looked at data from 36,381 average-risk adults. These people had no symptoms and were not at high risk. The researchers compared the blood test results to colonoscopy findings. Colonoscopy remains the gold standard for finding these growths. The blood test cannot yet replace it for early detection.

Experts say more large studies are needed. We need to know if these tests work well enough for real-world use. They also need to know if the cost is worth it. Until then, colonoscopy remains the best way to catch these dangerous growths early.

What this means for you:
Blood tests miss most early colon cancer signs but work better for advanced disease.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedJun 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: Blood-based circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) assays have emerged as a promising tool for minimally invasive colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. However, their diagnostic accuracy in asymptomatic, average-risk populations remains uncertain. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to synthesise current evidence on the performance of ctDNA-based blood tests for detecting advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN), defined as the composite of invasive CRC and advanced precancerous lesions (APL). METHODS: A comprehensive search of PubMed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library was conducted through July 2025. Studies evaluating ctDNA-based blood assays against colonoscopy and histopathology in asymptomatic, average-risk adults were included. Pooled estimates were calculated using a bivariate random-effects model following Cochrane DTA guidance. RESULTS: Three population-based prospective studies were included (n = 36,381). For invasive CRC, pooled sensitivity was 0.72 (95% CI 0.49-0.88) and specificity 0.91 (95% CI 0.89-0.92), with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.92. Sensitivity increased progressively from stage I (0.53) to stage IV (0.89). For APL, pooled sensitivity was 0.13 (95% CI 0.12-0.14) and specificity 0.90 (95% CI 0.88-0.91). When CRC and APL were considered together (ACN), overall sensitivity was 0.16 (95% CI 0.14-0.18) with specificity 0.91 (95% CI 0.89-0.92). CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA-based blood testing demonstrates high specificity and clinically relevant accuracy for invasive CRC, but limited detection of precancerous lesions. These findings consolidate current evidence by defining the complementary role of ctDNA in population screening. As a non-invasive, patient-centred approach, ctDNA testing could increase participation and access in CRC prevention, but large-scale studies are needed to confirm its clinical and economic viability.
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