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Observational study finds 2024-2025 flu vaccine associated with reduced hospitalization and severe outcomes

Observational study finds 2024-2025 flu vaccine associated with reduced hospitalization and severe o…
Photo by CDC / Unsplash
Key Takeaway
Consider observational evidence linking 2024-2025 flu vaccine to reduced severe outcomes in hospitalized adults.

This observational test-negative study evaluated the effectiveness of the 2024-2025 seasonal influenza vaccine against influenza-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes. The study population consisted of adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness at 26 U.S. medical centers during the 2024-2025 influenza season. The comparator was no vaccination. The sample size and follow-up duration were not reported.

The primary outcome was influenza-associated hospitalization, for which the vaccine effectiveness (VE) was 40% (95% CI: 32%-47%). For secondary outcomes, VE was 41% (95% CI: 31%-50%) against standard oxygen therapy, 38% (95% CI: 19%-52%) against non-invasive advanced respiratory support, 58% (95% CI: 44%-69%) against invasive organ support, 58% (95% CI: 47%-67%) against ICU admission, and 52% (95% CI: 18%-71%) against death. All estimates were protective. Absolute event numbers were not reported.

Safety and tolerability data were not reported. Key limitations inherent to the observational design include the inability to prove causation; the results show an association. The confidence intervals for some outcomes, particularly death, were wide. The study did not report funding or conflicts of interest. The practice relevance was not explicitly stated, but the findings provide real-world evidence of an association between vaccination and reduced severe outcomes in hospitalized adults, though absolute risk reduction and generalizability to non-hospitalized populations cannot be determined.

Study Details

EvidenceLevel 5
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
Background: The U.S. 2024-2025 influenza season was characterized by sustained elevated activity from November 2024 to April 2025, with circulation of both influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2), the latter of which included some antigenically drifted viruses. Methods: From October 1, 2024, to April 30, 2025, a multistate respiratory virus surveillance network enrolled adults hospitalized with acute respiratory illness in 26 U.S. medical centers. Influenza vaccine effectiveness (VE) against influenza-associated hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes was estimated using a test-negative study. The odds of influenza vaccination among influenza-positive case patients and influenza-negative control patients were compared using multivariable logistic regression; VE was calculated as (1-adjusted odds ratio for vaccination) x 100, expressed as a percent. Results: The 2024-2025 seasonal influenza vaccine was effective against influenza-associated hospitalization (VE: 40% [95% confidence interval (CI): 32%-47%]), consistent across age group and influenza A subtypes. Influenza vaccination also reduced the overall risk of all severe in-hospital outcomes evaluated, including standard oxygen therapy (VE: 41% [95% CI: 31%-50%]), non-invasive advanced respiratory support (VE: 38% [95% CI: 19%-52%]), invasive organ support (VE: 58% [95% CI: 44%-69%]), ICU admission (VE: 58% [95% CI: 47%-67%]), and death (VE: 52% [95% CI: 18%-71%]) with effectiveness varying by influenza A subtype and age. Conclusions: Influenza vaccination reduced the risk of influenza-related hospitalization and severe in-hospital outcomes in adults during the severe 2024-2025 influenza season compared to those not vaccinated.
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