This post-licensure systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the effectiveness of vaccines, including rotavirus and pneumococcal conjugate vaccines, against rotavirus and pneumococcal disease. The analysis included 64 studies involving children under five years of age in sub-Saharan Africa, comparing vaccinated individuals to unvaccinated or routine programme conditions. The primary outcome measured vaccine effectiveness and population-level impact.
The results indicated that rotavirus vaccine effectiveness estimates were consistent across different settings and demonstrated a protective direction. In contrast, pneumococcal vaccine effectiveness estimates exhibited substantial heterogeneity, though the general direction remained protective. Other vaccines were also generally protective in direction. Specific effect sizes, absolute numbers, and p-values were not reported in the source data.
Safety data, including adverse events, serious adverse events, discontinuations, and tolerability, were not reported for the included studies. A key limitation is that none of the studies collected, reported, or adjusted for public health and social measures (PHSMs) such as nutrition, water, sanitation, and healthcare access. The study examines associations between vaccines and disease outcomes; failure to account for concurrent interventions may affect the interpretation of vaccine effects.
The authors note that the consequences of omitting PHSMs are not uniform across vaccines. For some pathogens, effectiveness estimates appear robust to unmeasured contextual change, while for others they are highly sensitive to outcome choice and setting. Future evaluations should prioritize systematic measurement of key PHSMs and consider study designs that better account for time-varying context. Strengthening routine data systems to capture these factors is essential for generating interpretable evidence to inform immunisation policy.
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Background Post-licensure vaccine effectiveness and impact studies provide evidence on how vaccines perform under routine programme conditions in the real world. In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), vaccine introductions frequently coincide with concurrent public health and social measures that may influence disease risk and transmission. Failure to account for these concurrent interventions may affect the interpretation of vaccine effects. Methods We conducted a systematic review of post-licensure vaccine effectiveness and impact studies conducted in children under five years of age in SSA. Electronic databases were searched for peer-reviewed studies published between January 2000 and December 2019. Eligible studies used observational designs to estimate vaccine effectiveness or population-level impact. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed methodological quality using Joanna Briggs Institute tools. We examined study designs, vaccines evaluated, outcomes assessed, and whether public health and social measures (PHSMs) were measured or adjusted for. A narrative synthesis was undertaken. In addition, we conducted a meta-analysis for rotavirus and pneumococcal conjugate vaccines where we explored the heterogeneity in individual-level effectiveness estimates where designs and outcomes were comparable. Results Sixty-four studies met the inclusion criteria, covering eight vaccine-preventable diseases. Rotavirus vaccines were most frequently evaluated, followed by pneumococcal conjugate vaccines. Case-control and ecological designs were most common, while cohort and time-series analyses were less frequently used. None of the included studies collected, reported, or adjusted for PHSMs such as nutrition, WASH, or access to healthcare. The implications of this omission varied by pathogen. Rotavirus vaccine effectiveness estimates from comparable individual-level designs were consistent across settings, with no evidence of between-study heterogeneity. Pneumococcal vaccine effectiveness estimates showed substantial heterogeneity, which appeared to reflect differences in outcome definitions, host risk profiles, and study context. Estimates for other vaccines were generally protective in direction, although the magnitude and precision varied across studies. Conclusions Post-licensure vaccine effectiveness and impact studies in SSA rarely account for concurrent PHSMs. The consequences of this omission are not uniform across vaccines. For some pathogens, effectiveness estimates appear robust to unmeasured contextual change, while for others they are highly sensitive to outcome choice and setting. Future evaluations should prioritise systematic measurement of key PHSMs and consider study designs that better account for time-varying context. Strengthening routine data systems to capture these factors is essential for generating interpretable evidence to inform immunisation policy.