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Serum PAI-1, MMP-9, and NLR are higher in elderly acute ischemic stroke patients.

Serum PAI-1, MMP-9, and NLR are higher in elderly acute ischemic stroke patients.
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Key Takeaway
Note that serum PAI-1, MMP-9, and NLR are higher in elderly acute ischemic stroke patients, but clinical utility is unproven.

This was a prospective observational cohort study of 113 elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) and 63 elderly non-AIS controls. The study measured serum levels of PAI-1, MMP-9, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and compared them to NIHSS scores alone, biomarkers alone, or a combination for predicting 90-day poor functional outcome (mRS > 2).

The main result was that serum levels of PAI-1, MMP-9, and NLR were significantly higher in AIS patients than in controls. The p-values were all less than a threshold, though the exact value was not reported. The effect size and absolute numbers for these differences were not reported.

Safety and tolerability data were not reported, as no adverse events, serious adverse events, or discontinuations were noted. Key limitations include the observational design, which cannot establish causality, and the lack of reported effect sizes or exact p-values. The study population was limited to elderly patients, which may affect generalizability.

Practice relevance was not reported. Clinicians should interpret these findings as associative only, noting that biomarker levels differ in AIS patients, but their predictive value for functional outcomes remains uncertain without further validation.

Study Details

Study typeCohort
EvidenceLevel 3
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
ObjectiveTo investigate whether a multi-marker panel comprising PAI-1, NLR, and MMP-9 enhances prognostication beyond the NIHSS score in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke, and to develop a clinically applicable nomogram.MethodsA total of 113 elderly AIS patients and 63 elderly non-AIS controls were prospectively enrolled. Fasting venous blood samples were collected at 06:00 on the first morning after admission (or at 06:00 on the day of admission for overnight admissions), and serum PAI-1, MMP-9, and NLR were measured. Clinical data and NIHSS scores within 24 h of admission were collected. Outcomes were assessed at 90-day follow-up using the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) (favorable outcome: mRS ≤ 2; poor outcome: mRS > 2). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors. Three models were constructed: NIHSS alone, biomarkers alone, and their combination. Model performance was evaluated using ROC curves, calibration plots, decision curve analysis (DCA), and bootstrap internal validation.ResultsSerum levels of PAI-1, MMP-9, and NLR were significantly higher in AIS patients than in controls (all p 
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