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Pseudoprogression in immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy is associated with modest tumor growth and early progressionImmune Checkpoint Inhibitors May Cause Initial Tumor Growth in Cancer

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Key Takeaway
Note that pseudoprogression is associated with modest tumor growth (33.0%) and a median time to best response of 2.79 months.

This meta-analysis evaluates clinical and imaging characteristics in patients with solid tumors treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (CPIs) who experienced confirmed pseudoprogression. The study synthesizes data on progression markers, tumor burden changes, and subsequent responses to clarify the distinction between pseudoprogression and true disease progression.

Key findings indicate a mean tumor burden increase of 33.0% (95% CI, 22.7-43.3) in cases of pseudoprogression. The median time to best response was 2.79 months (95% CI, 0.62-7.20), and the time to initial radiologic progression was 2.52 months (95% CI, 1.54-3.51). While new lesions occurred in 35.3% of cases, large increases in tumor burden exceeding 100% were rare, occurring in only 3.9% of instances. Subsequent partial responses without therapy changes were observed in 41.8% of patients.

The authors note that the included studies were retrospective, which may limit the ability to draw definitive conclusions. Clinical practice relevance suggests that pseudoprogression typically occurs early and is associated with modest growth; large increases are rare and may indicate true progression. These findings provide a framework for distinguishing transient inflammatory responses from progressive disease in patients receiving CPIs.

How this fits prior evidence

This meta-analysis addresses gaps in identifying imaging features of pseudoprogression during immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. While prior coverage noted that T cell-based therapies face significant barriers in solid tumors, this study specifically characterizes the radiographic behavior of those tumors when treated with checkpoint inhibitors. The findings regarding modest tumor growth and early response times provide specific parameters for distinguishing inflammatory responses from true progression.

Doctors and patients sometimes see tumors appear to grow on scans after starting immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. This phenomenon is called pseudoprogression. A meta-analysis looked at patients with solid tumors who experienced this specific type of initial growth. The study found that these cases often showed a modest increase in tumor burden, averaging about 33 percent, rather than massive growth.

While the scans might look concerning at first, many patients still saw positive results later on. About 41.8 percent of those with pseudoprogression achieved a partial response without changing their treatment plan, and 6.4 percent achieved a complete response. The study noted that large increases in tumor size over 100 percent were rare, occurring in only about 3.9 percent of cases.

Because this analysis relied on retrospective data, the findings show an association rather than a guaranteed prediction. It is important to remember that pseudoprogression typically happens early in treatment. Patients should discuss these specific imaging patterns with their oncology team to determine if a change in therapy is truly necessary.

What this means for you:
Initial tumor growth during immunotherapy may be a temporary response called pseudoprogression rather than true progression.

Common questions

What is pseudoprogression?

Pseudoprogression is when a tumor appears to grow on imaging scans shortly after starting immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. In many cases, this growth is not the cancer spreading, but rather an inflammatory response as the immune system begins to attack the tumor.

Is it always a sign that the treatment is working?

Not necessarily. While the study found that 41.8% of patients with pseudoprogression had a partial response and 6.4% had a complete response, large increases in tumor size over 100% were rare (3.9%). You should talk to your doctor to interpret specific scan results.

How much does the tumor usually grow during pseudoprogression?

The study found that patients experiencing pseudoprogression typically showed a modest mean increase in tumor burden of 33.0%. This is often contrasted with true progression, where tumors might show much larger and more rapid increases in size.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedJun 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: Pseudoprogression is an atypical response pattern observed during treatment with immune checkpoint inhibitors (CPIs) that can complicate clinical decision-making. It is characterized by initial radiologic progression followed by subsequent tumor regression or stabilization, with confirmation requiring repeat imaging. We aimed to characterize the clinical and imaging features of confirmed pseudoprogression in solid tumors treated with CPIs using pooled study data. METHODS: We systematically searched MEDLINE, Embase, and Web of Science through December 2025. Prospective and retrospective cohort studies and randomized trials reporting confirmed pseudoprogression during CPI therapy were eligible. Two independent reviewers performed study selection and data extraction using predefined criteria. Study quality was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. Pooled analyses were conducted with RevMan and Stata. Outcomes included time to initial radiologic progression, magnitude of tumor burden increase, occurrence of new lesions, changes in nontarget lesions, and subsequent objective response. RESULTS: Thirteen retrospective studies were included; most applied iRECIST criteria. The pooled median time to initial progression was 2.52 months (95% CI, 1.54-3.51). Mean tumor burden increase was 33.0% (95% CI, 22.7-43.3), and new lesions occurred in 35.3% of cases. Tumor burden increases > 100% were rare (3.9%). Despite initial progression, 41.8% subsequently achieved partial response and 6.4% complete response without therapy change. Median time to best response was 2.79 months (95% CI, 0.62-7.20). CONCLUSIONS: Pseudoprogression typically occurs early during CPI therapy and is associated with modest tumor growth. Marked tumor increases are uncommon and may help distinguish true progression. Careful clinical and radiologic assessment remains essential.
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