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Broader liver transplant eligibility criteria show no difference in survival outcomes for hepatocellular carcinomaDifferent Liver Transplant Rules Show Similar Survival for Cancer Patients

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Key Takeaway
Note that broader liver transplant eligibility criteria do not differ from Milan criteria in survival outcomes for HCC.

This multicentre post-hoc analysis evaluated 485 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to compare four liver transplant eligibility criteria: Milan, UCSF, Up-to-7, and MT 2.0. The study aimed to determine if broader inclusion criteria impacted clinical outcomes.

No statistically significant differences were found across the four criteria for primary or secondary outcomes. The C-index for overall survival (OS) was 0.55-0.57, and the C-index for recurrence-free survival (RFS) was 0.57-0.59. For freedom of tumor (FoT), the C-index was 0.62-0.64. A competing-risks analysis showed that patients falling outside any of the four criteria had an increased subdistribution hazard of recurrence (sHR 2.7-3.6, p < 0.001).

While broader criteria significantly increased eligibility rates (Up-to-7 83.9% vs Milan 65.6%), they did not correlate with improved survival metrics. Safety data were not reported. The study is limited by its post-hoc design. These findings suggest that the Milan criteria may exclude patients who could potentially benefit from transplantation without providing a survival advantage over broader criteria.

How this fits prior evidence

How this fits prior evidence: This finding addresses a gap in identifying optimal selection tools for liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. While previous coverage noted that clinicoradiomics models provide superior and more consistent performance for predicting microvascular invasion in hepatocellular carcinoma, this study focuses on the clinical impact of eligibility criteria. The results suggest that broader criteria, such as Up-to-7 (83.9% eligibility) compared to Milan (65.6% eligibility), do not result in different survival outcomes.

Researchers looked at 485 patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to see how different eligibility rules affect outcomes. They compared the traditional Milan criteria against three broader sets of rules: UCSF, Up-to-7, and MT 2.0. The goal was to see if stricter rules actually improved survival for patients waiting for a liver transplant.

The study found that there were no significant differences in overall survival, recurrence-free survival, or freedom from tumor across the four different sets of criteria. While the broader rules allowed many more patients to qualify for a transplant, those who were excluded by the stricter Milan rules did not show better survival outcomes.

Because this was a post-hoc analysis, the results should be viewed with caution. The study suggests that the strict Milan criteria might exclude some patients who could still benefit from a transplant. Patients and doctors should discuss these different eligibility models to determine the best path forward for individual care.

What this means for you:
Different liver transplant eligibility rules showed similar survival rates for patients with liver cancer.

Common questions

Do different transplant rules change survival rates?

The study found no statistically significant differences in overall survival, recurrence-free survival, or freedom from tumor among the four different sets of criteria. While the broader rules allowed more patients to qualify, the survival outcomes remained similar across all groups.

What is the difference between the Milan criteria and other rules?

The Milan criteria are more restrictive. The study found that broader criteria, such as Up-to-7, classified significantly more patients as eligible (83.9% compared to 65.6% for Milan). However, these broader rules did not result in different survival outcomes.

Is it safe to use broader criteria for liver transplants?

The study did not report any specific safety data or adverse events. It only showed that patients excluded by the stricter Milan rules did not have better survival outcomes, suggesting the stricter rules might exclude eligible patients.

Study Details

Study typeRct
Sample sizen = 485
EvidenceLevel 2
PublishedOct 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Selection criteria for liver transplant allocation are crucial for benefit-risk assessment of every patient evaluated for liver transplantation (LTx). Currently, Milan criteria are the key decision tool in several countries to assess whether a patient with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is eligible for LTx. In this post-hoc analysis of the SiLVER Study, we analysed the performance of Milan criteria compared to the broader criteria UCSF, Up-to-7 and MT 2.0 to assess whether there is need to reform the selection process of HCC patients evaluated for LTx. METHODS: Outcomes of 485 patients of the multicentre and randomized SiLVER Study were analysed determined by recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS) and freedom of tumor (FoT). RESULTS: Discrimination was modest for all four criteria and showed no statistically significant differences across OS (C-index 0.55-0.57), RFS (0.57-0.59) or FoT (0.62-0.64), with Metroticket 2.0 numerically highest. In the competing-risks analysis, being outside any criterion was associated with an increased subdistribution hazard of recurrence (sHR 2.7-3.6, all p < 0.001). The broader criteria classified substantially more patients as eligible (Up-to-7 83.9% vs Milan 65.6%). CONCLUSIONS: Our data based on explant histopathology suggest that Milan criteria exclude patients with HCC evaluated for LTx without demonstrable benefit, questioning Milan criteria as sole selection tool in many regions doing liver transplants.
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