FeNO measurement shows limited diagnostic performance for asthma in school-age children

Background Recent guidelines differ in how fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) is used to diagnose school-age asthma, either as one of several tests with a cut-off at 25 ppb or as a single rule-in test at 35 ppb. Evidence on its diagnostic performance and clinical utility in subgroups remain limited. Methods We analysed data from 1,979 school-age children in the Swiss Paediatric Airway Cohort referred for suspected asthma. We investigated FeNO performance with diagnosis by paediatric pulmonologists as reference standard using receiver operating characteristics curves, selected cut-offs and simulated predictive values across different prevalence. Subgroup analyses considered allergic sensitisation with allergic rhinitis and current inhaled corticosteroid (ICS) use. Results In the overall cohort (asthma diagnosis 70%), FeNO showed poor discrimination for asthma (AUC 0.66; 95% CI 0.64-0.68) with an optimal cut-off at 22 ppb. At 25 and 35 ppb, sensitivity was low (43%, 95% CI 40-46; 31%, 95% CI 29-34) and specificity moderate to high (84%, 95% CI 77-84; 90%, 95% CI 87-92). Positive predictive value at 35 ppb was 88% and was 57% when simulated at a prevalence of 30%. FeNO had no diagnostic value in non-sensitised children and lower performance in sensitised children with allergic rhinitis than in those without (AUC 0.59 vs 0.68). Current ICS use did not influence performance. Conclusion FeNO has limited diagnostic performance as a stand-alone test for school-age asthma, and underlying asthma prevalence and allergic characteristics should be considered in the interpretation.