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HFpEF probability scores rule out disease but show limitations in AF and obesity phenotypesHFpEF probability scores work well for typical cases but struggle with atrial fibrillation and obesity

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Key Takeaway
Interpret HFpEF probability scores cautiously in patients with atrial fibrillation or obesity due to altered biomarkers.

This systematic review assessed the strengths and limitations of HFpEF probability scales, specifically HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF, within the context of precision medicine strategies. The study focused on patients diagnosed with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF), with particular attention to subgroups characterized by atrial fibrillation and obesity. The primary objective was to determine the diagnostic performance and applicability of these probability scores across varying clinical phenotypes.

The review found that both HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF scores are effective at capturing typical HFpEF presentations. Furthermore, the data suggests that these scores can successfully rule out disease in patients presenting with low scores. These findings support the utility of probability scales for initial diagnostic stratification in standard HFpEF populations.

However, significant limitations were identified in specific patient phenotypes. In patients with atrial fibrillation, the scores face challenges because the condition alters natriuretic peptide levels and echocardiographic parameters, which are foundational to the scoring algorithms. Similarly, in patients with obesity, the diagnostic accuracy is impaired because obesity itself affects natriuretic peptide-based diagnostics.

The study highlights that while these tools are useful for typical presentations, they require careful interpretation when applied to patients with comorbidities like atrial fibrillation or obesity. The authors note that precision medicine strategies, such as the use of GLP-1 receptor agonists for obesity-related HFpEF, underscore the need for phenotype-specific therapeutic approaches. Consequently, HFpEF probability scores must be interpreted within the context of individual patient phenotypes to avoid diagnostic errors.

This systematic review looked at the strengths and limitations of HFpEF probability scores, specifically the HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF tools. These tools are used to estimate the likelihood of heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in patients, including those with atrial fibrillation or obesity. The review analyzed how well these scores perform across different patient profiles to support precision medicine strategies.

The main findings indicate that both HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF effectively capture typical HFpEF presentations. Additionally, low scores can help rule out the disease in many patients. However, the study highlights significant limitations when dealing with specific phenotypes. Atrial fibrillation alters natriuretic peptide levels and echocardiographic parameters, which can affect the accuracy of these diagnostic scores.

Obesity also impairs the ability of natriuretic peptide-based diagnostics to work correctly. Because these conditions change the biological markers the tests rely on, the scores may not be reliable for all patients. Readers should understand that these tools must be interpreted carefully within the context of individual patient phenotypes. While these scores are useful for typical cases, they are not perfect for everyone.

The main reason to be careful is that relying on these scores without considering specific conditions like obesity or atrial fibrillation could lead to misdiagnosis. This review does not provide medical advice but emphasizes the need for clinicians to interpret these scores alongside individual patient factors. Future research may further refine these tools for broader use.

What this means for you:
HFpEF scores work for typical cases but need careful interpretation in patients with atrial fibrillation or obesity.

Study Details

Study typeSystematic review
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction is a heterogeneous syndrome influenced by comorbidities, complicating diagnosis and treatment. Probability-based scales, such as HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF, are commonly used but have limitations in specific phenotypes, including atrial fibrillation and obesity. A structured literature review was conducted using PubMed, Scopus, Wiley Online Library, and Google Scholar. Keywords included “HFpEF,” “HFA-PEFF,” “H2FPEF,” “atrial fibrillation,” “obesity,” “probability scores,” and “precision medicine.” Relevant studies were screened to summarize the performance, strengths, and limitations of HFpEF probability scales and their implications for precision medicine. HFA-PEFF and H2FPEF effectively capture typical HFpEF presentations and can rule out disease with low scores. Limitations arise in phenotypes with AF, which alters natriuretic peptide levels and echocardiographic parameters, and obesity, which impairs NP-based diagnostics. Integration of advanced phenotyping, including left atrial function and BMI-adjusted thresholds, may improve detection. Precision medicine strategies, such as GLP-1 receptor agonists for obesity-related HFpEF or AF ablation, highlight phenotype-specific therapeutic potential. HFpEF probability scores are valuable tools but must be interpreted in the context of individual phenotypes. Precision medicine approaches, combining phenotyping, comorbidity assessment, and targeted therapies, offer improved diagnostic and therapeutic strategies for this heterogeneous population.
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