BRAFV600E mutation testing shows diagnostic value in high-suspicion thyroid nodules with non-malignant cytology
This prospective observational study evaluated the diagnostic performance of preoperative BRAFV600E mutation analysis using PCR-based methods in 562 ultrasound-high-suspicion thyroid nodules with non-malignant or indeterminate cytology (Bethesda II–III) at a single Chinese hospital. The cohort had a high baseline cancer prevalence, with final pathology confirming 390 papillary thyroid carcinomas (69.4%) and 172 benign lesions (30.6%).
BRAFV600E mutation was detected in 280 of 562 nodules (49.8%). Mutation positivity was strongly associated with malignancy, present in 66.2% of malignant nodules versus 12.8% of benign nodules (P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, BRAFV600E positivity independently predicted papillary thyroid carcinoma with an odds ratio of 10.36 (95% CI = 6.18–17.35, P < 0.001). The test demonstrated 66.2% sensitivity, 87.2% specificity, 92.1% positive predictive value, and 72.6% overall accuracy for malignancy.
Safety and tolerability data were not reported. Key limitations include the highly selected cohort with 69.4% baseline cancer prevalence, which may overestimate test performance in lower-prevalence settings. The observational design without randomization limits causal inference.
For clinical practice, these findings suggest BRAFV600E mutation testing may be a valuable molecular adjunct when evaluating high-suspicion thyroid nodules with cytologically benign or indeterminate findings. However, results should always be interpreted alongside clinicopathologic and imaging assessments, not in isolation. The test's moderate sensitivity means a negative result does not rule out malignancy.