Meta-analysis finds 8.33% pooled prevalence of new-onset diabetes after SARS-CoV-2 infection in adults
This systematic review and meta-analysis examined the prevalence of new-onset diabetes in adults (≥18 years) following SARS-CoV-2 infection. The analysis included 33 articles, with the primary outcome being the prevalence of new-onset diabetes (combined type 1, type 2, or undefined). The comparator was not reported, and the setting was not specified.
The pooled prevalence of new-onset diabetes was 8.33% (95% CI 7.47, 9.18%, p < 0.001). For type 2 diabetes specifically, the prevalence was 8.92% (95% CI 7.88%, 9.96%, p < 0.001). For type 1 diabetes, the prevalence was 0.86% (95% CI 0.0072%, 0.0099%, p < 0.001). Meta-regression did not identify a significant relationship between prevalence and follow-up duration, age, or sex at the study level. Safety and tolerability data were not reported.
Key limitations were not reported in the input, but the authors note the analysis is based on observational studies and cannot establish causation. The certainty of the evidence is tempered by very high statistical heterogeneity (I² = 99.68% for combined diabetes, 99.96% for T2DM, 99.94% for T1DM), indicating substantial variation between the included studies. The practice relevance was not reported, but the findings suggest clinicians should be aware of a potential association between COVID-19 and new diabetes diagnoses while recognizing the inherent limitations of the evidence.