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Meta-analysis finds 8.33% pooled prevalence of new-onset diabetes after SARS-CoV-2 infection in adults

Meta-analysis finds 8.33% pooled prevalence of new-onset diabetes after SARS-CoV-2 infection in adul…
Photo by Brian McGowan / Unsplash
Key Takeaway
Consider potential association between COVID-19 and new diabetes, but note high heterogeneity in observational data.

This systematic review and meta-analysis examined the prevalence of new-onset diabetes in adults (≥18 years) following SARS-CoV-2 infection. The analysis included 33 articles, with the primary outcome being the prevalence of new-onset diabetes (combined type 1, type 2, or undefined). The comparator was not reported, and the setting was not specified.

The pooled prevalence of new-onset diabetes was 8.33% (95% CI 7.47, 9.18%, p < 0.001). For type 2 diabetes specifically, the prevalence was 8.92% (95% CI 7.88%, 9.96%, p < 0.001). For type 1 diabetes, the prevalence was 0.86% (95% CI 0.0072%, 0.0099%, p < 0.001). Meta-regression did not identify a significant relationship between prevalence and follow-up duration, age, or sex at the study level. Safety and tolerability data were not reported.

Key limitations were not reported in the input, but the authors note the analysis is based on observational studies and cannot establish causation. The certainty of the evidence is tempered by very high statistical heterogeneity (I² = 99.68% for combined diabetes, 99.96% for T2DM, 99.94% for T1DM), indicating substantial variation between the included studies. The practice relevance was not reported, but the findings suggest clinicians should be aware of a potential association between COVID-19 and new diabetes diagnoses while recognizing the inherent limitations of the evidence.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedApr 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
AIM: To estimate the prevalence of new-onset diabetes in adults (≥ 18 years) following SARS-CoV-2 infection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This meta-analysis includes studies written in English that measured the number of adults (≥ 18 years) diagnosed with diabetes following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Studies underwent dual independent review; quality was assessed by using the New Castle Ottawa Scale. A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted to obtain the pooled estimate of new-onset diabetes. To understand the relationship between patient characteristics (age, sex) and study variable (duration of follow-up), a random effects meta-regression was used. RESULTS: A total of 33 articles were retained for analysis. The overall estimated prevalence of new-onset diabetes (combined T1DM and T2DM or undefined) was 8.33% (95% CI 7.47, 9.18%, z = 19.04, p < 0.001; Q = 6791.24, I, 99.68%). The overall estimated prevalence of new-onset T2DM in COVID-19 was 8.92% (95% CI 7.88%, 9.96%, z = 16.77, p < 0.001; Q = 27659.74; p < 0.001, I = 99.96%). The overall estimated prevalence of new-onset T1DM was 0.86% (95% CI 0.0072%, 0.0099%, z = 12.59, p < 0.001; Q = 9456.28; p < 0.001, I = 99.94%). At the study level, there was no significant relationship identified with age, sex, or follow-up duration. CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis revealed a notable increase in T2DM or combined (T1DM, T2DM, or undefined) conditions. As such, it may be important to understand the underlying factors contributing to increased prevalence.
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