Endoscopic findings predict advanced gastric signet ring cell carcinoma in CDH1 carriers.
This retrospective observational study evaluated 390 CDH1 pathogenic variant carriers from 235 families recruited across twelve academic centers between 1998 and 2025. The cohort included carriers with and without signet ring cell carcinoma (SRCC) identified on endoscopy or gastrectomy specimens. The study aimed to identify clinicopathological factors associated with localized versus advanced gastric SRCC in this high-risk population.
The presence of SRCCs on endoscopy was significantly associated with thickened folds, nodularity, masses, and intestinal metaplasia, while gastritis showed a negative association. Among the 196 carriers undergoing gastrectomy, 11 (5.6%) had advanced cancers, and 10 (90.9%) of these cases demonstrated endoscopic abnormalities. Diagnostic performance metrics for baseline endoscopy identified SRCC with a sensitivity of 0.81 and specificity of 0.74. Specific endoscopic features like masses and thickened folds demonstrated high specificity (0.99 and 0.96, respectively).
Multivariate analysis identified masses and SRCC foci on baseline endoscopy as independent predictors of advanced disease. Negative predictive values ranged from 0.94 to 1.0, suggesting that the absence of endoscopic findings is reassuring. However, positive predictive values were lower, ranging from 0.13 to 0.66. No adverse events or discontinuations were reported, as this was an observational study of existing patients rather than an intervention trial.
Key limitations include the retrospective design and the inability to infer causality from these observational associations. The study population is restricted to CDH1 carriers, limiting generalizability to other gastric cancer populations. These findings suggest that endoscopic surveillance might serve as an alternative to surgery for carriers without worrisome mucosal findings, but clinicians must weigh the modest positive predictive values against the risks of advanced disease.