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Radiomics-based machine learning achieves high AUROC for preoperative risk stratification in bladder cancerMachine Learning May Help Identify Risks in Bladder Cancer

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Key Takeaway
Note that while radiomics shows high AUROC values, evidence is not yet ready for clinical translation due to bias.

This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the performance of radiomics-based machine learning for preoperative risk stratification in patients with bladder cancer. The analysis included 57 studies involving 11,933 participants to assess metrics such as muscle invasion identification, high-grade tumor diagnosis, and various biomarker expressions.

The meta-analysis reported high AUROC values for several outcomes. For muscle invasion, CT-based radiomics showed an AUROC of 0.893 (95% CI 0.840-0.948), while MRI-based radiomics reached 0.916 (95% CI 0.891-0.942). Combining imaging with clinical features yielded even higher AUROC values, such as 0.921 for MRI plus clinical features. For high-grade tumor diagnosis, CT-based radiomics showed an AUROC of 0.874 (95% CI 0.775-0.985) and MRI plus clinical features reached 0.919 (95% CI 0.774-1.000).

Despite these high performance metrics, the authors note significant limitations including methodological shortcomings and a high risk of bias, resulting in a low GRADE level for the evidence. Consequently, the findings are not yet considered ready for clinical translation.

How this fits prior evidence

This meta-analysis addresses a gap in technological tools for preoperative assessment in bladder cancer. While prior coverage has focused on systemic treatments like cisplatin-based chemotherapy and local therapies such as BCG plus mitomycin or orthotopic neobladder techniques, this study evaluates the diagnostic accuracy of radiomics-based machine learning for risk stratification.

A large review of 57 studies involving nearly 12,000 participants looked at how machine learning can analyze medical images. The goal was to see if these computer models could better predict risks for patients with bladder cancer, such as whether a tumor has invaded nearby muscle or is high-grade.

The analysis found that radiomics-based machine learning performed well in several areas. For example, using MRI and CT scans combined with clinical data showed high accuracy in identifying muscle invasion and high-grade tumors. Different imaging types, including ultrasound, also showed some ability to detect these risks, though results varied by method.

While the technology shows promise for helping doctors understand cancer risk before surgery, there are important reasons to be cautious. The researchers noted that many of the original studies had flaws or a high risk of bias. Because of these quality issues, the findings are not yet ready to change how doctors treat patients in everyday clinical practice.

What this means for you:
Machine learning shows promise for identifying bladder cancer risks, but current data is too inconsistent for clinical use.

Common questions

How accurate is machine learning at finding muscle invasion?

The study found that radiomics-based machine learning showed high accuracy for identifying muscle invasion. For example, MRI-based methods reached an AUROC of 0.916, while CT-based methods reached 0.893. When combined with clinical features, the accuracy for MRI was even higher at 0.921.

Can these tools help identify high-grade tumors?

Yes, machine learning showed promise in diagnosing high-grade tumors. CT-based radiomics had an AUROC of 0.874, and MRI combined with clinical features reached 0.919. Ultrasound-based methods were also tested but showed a lower score of 0.750 for identifying high-grade tumors.

Is this technology ready to be used in hospitals today?

Not yet. While the results are interesting, the researchers noted that the evidence is not ready for clinical use. This is because many of the studies included in the review had methodological flaws and a high risk of bias, meaning more reliable research is needed first.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
Sample sizen = 34
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedJun 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: Some researchers have explored the application of radiomics-based machine learning to detect preoperative muscle invasion, high-grade tumors, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 expression, and other risk factors for bladder cancer. However, systematic evidence proving its effectiveness remains lacking. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of radiomics-based machine learning in preoperative risk stratification for patients with bladder cancer. These findings could contribute to advancing the development or updating of intelligent risk assessment tools for bladder cancer. METHODS: The Embase, Cochrane Library, PubMed, and Web of Science databases were systematically retrieved for publicly available studies on the effectiveness of radiomics-based machine learning (ML) in the preoperative risk stratification of bladder cancer up to October 17, 2025. The risk of bias in the included studies was evaluated using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool for Artificial Intelligence. The overall quality of the studies was quantified using the Radiomics Quality Scoring tool. The certainty of the evidence was graded using the Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) framework. Subgroup analyses were conducted according to the type of imaging source and modeling method. RESULTS: This meta-analysis ultimately incorporated 57 studies with a total of 11,933 participants. These studies primarily used radiomics-based ML to identify muscle invasion (n=34) and high-grade tumors (n=16). Additionally, the methodology was used to evaluate human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 positive expression (n=3), Ki-67 expression (n=2), and lymph node staging (n=2) preoperatively in bladder cancer. In the validation sets, the pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for identifying muscle invasion was 0.893 (95% CI 0.840-0.948), 0.916 (95% CI 0.891-0.942), and 0.840 (95% CI 0.737-0.958) for computed tomography (CT)-, magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-, and ultrasound-based radiomics, respectively. The AUROC was 0.874 (95% CI 0.852-0.896) and 0.921 (95% CI 0.867-0.979) for models integrating clinical features with CT- or MRI-based radiomics, respectively. The pooled AUROC for diagnosing high-grade tumors was 0.874 (95% CI 0.775-0.985), 0.846 (95% CI 0.663-1.000), and 0.750 (95% CI 0.636-0.884) for CT-, MRI-, and ultrasound-based radiomics, respectively. Furthermore, the AUROC was 0.919 (95% CI 0.774-1.000) for MRI-based radiomics combined with clinical features. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first systematic review to comprehensively evaluate the role of radiomics in preoperative risk stratification for bladder cancer. It provides evidence to inform the development and refinement of future ML-based tools for image analysis in this setting. However, this evidence faces significant challenges, including methodological shortcomings and a high risk of bias and low GRADE level, which preclude its readiness for clinical translation. Future studies should standardize the methodological workflows in radiomics, conduct multicenter research, and thoroughly evaluate and discuss the validity of external validation.
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