Post hoc analysis finds cilostazol reduces stroke recurrence without lowering systolic blood pressure
This post hoc mediation analysis examined data from an RCT involving 1,795 patients with noncardioembolic ischemic stroke. Patients received either dual therapy with cilostazol plus aspirin or clopidogrel (n=889) or monotherapy with aspirin or clopidogrel alone (n=906), with a median follow-up of 1.4 years (16.8 months). The primary outcome was first recurrence of ischemic stroke.
The analysis found that first stroke recurrence occurred in 27 of 889 patients (3%) in the dual therapy group compared to 62 of 906 patients (6.8%) in the monotherapy group. Mediation analysis suggested the effect was not mediated by systolic blood pressure reduction, with a direct cumulative hazard rate difference of -0.043 (95% CI: -0.070 to -0.015) and a negligible indirect effect through systolic blood pressure of -0.0008 (95% CI: -0.0024 to 0.00035).
Safety and tolerability data were not reported in this analysis. The primary limitation is that this was a post hoc analysis, which carries inherent methodological constraints and should be considered hypothesis-generating rather than definitive. Mediation analyses have specific assumptions and limitations regarding causal inference.
For clinical practice, these findings suggest cilostazol may reduce stroke recurrence through mechanisms independent of systolic blood pressure lowering. However, clinicians should interpret these results with caution due to the post hoc nature of the analysis and the absence of reported safety data. The results require validation in prospective studies designed specifically to test this hypothesis.