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CLDN18.2 expression prevalence of 33.99% in patients with gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinomaNew data shows how many stomach cancer patients have target protein

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Key Takeaway
Note that CLDN18.2 expression is found in 33.99% of patients, but this figure does not directly determine zolbetuximab eligibility.

This meta-analysis evaluated the prevalence of CLDN18.2 expression in a large cohort of patients diagnosed with gastric adenocarcinoma and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma. The study included a total of 12,173 patients to determine the frequency of this specific biomarker, which is relevant for identifying candidates for targeted therapies such as zolbetuximab. The analysis focused on the presence of CLDN18.2 expression at the 75% moderate-to-strong membranous staining threshold.

The primary outcome of the analysis was the pooled prevalence of CLDN18.2 positivity. The study reported a pooled prevalence of 33.99% (95% CI: 30.13%-38.07%; 95% prediction interval: approximately 18%-55%). This finding provides a quantitative baseline for the prevalence of the target in the specified patient population. The high between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 92.4%) indicates significant variability across the included studies, which may reflect differences in clinical settings or testing methodologies.

Several subgroup analyses were conducted to refine the understanding of CLDN18.2 expression. When analyzed by the 43-14 A antibody clone, the prevalence was 32.79% (95% CI: 28.86%-36.97%; p = 0.281). In contrast, when using other antibody clones, the prevalence was higher at 41.74% (95% CI: 26.76%-58.42%). Geographic analyses also provided nuanced data: non-Asian populations showed a prevalence of 37.85% (95% CI: 31.59%-44.54%; p = 0.169), while Asian populations showed a prevalence of 32.10% (95% CI: 27.28%-37.34%).

Regarding safety and tolerability, the data were not reported in the meta-analysis. Because the study focused on the prevalence of a biomarker rather than the administration of a therapeutic agent, adverse event rates, serious adverse events, and discontinuation rates were not captured. The study design was focused on diagnostic and prevalence metrics rather than clinical trial outcomes.

These results provide a foundational understanding of biomarker distribution in gastric and gastroesophageal junction cancers. However, the study notes that the pooled estimate of 33.99% should not be interpreted directly as the proportion of patients eligible for zolbetuximab. This is due to the heterogeneous disease settings and the fact that the population was predominantly not selected for HER2 status, which may influence the clinical applicability of the data in specific treatment protocols.

Methodological limitations include the high between-study heterogeneity (I2 = 92.4%) and the heterogeneous disease settings across the included studies. Additionally, the population was predominantly not selected for HER2 status, which may impact the generalizability of the findings to specific subsets of patients. These factors necessitate a cautious interpretation of the data when making clinical decisions regarding patient selection for targeted therapies.

Clinically, these results provide an evidence base for understanding CLDN18.2 prevalence and the necessity of biomarker testing. While the data confirm the presence of the target in a significant portion of the population, the heterogeneity means that local clinical settings may vary significantly. Questions remain regarding how these prevalence rates translate to specific treatment responses in diverse populations and how different testing methodologies impact the consistency of results across different regions.

How this fits prior evidence

How this fits prior evidence: This finding provides a baseline for the prevalence of the CLDN18.2 biomarker in patients with gastric and gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma. It complements the prior finding that zolbetuximab combined with chemotherapy improves progression-free survival and overall survival in CLDN18.2-expressing gastric cancers. While the prior evidence confirms the efficacy of zolbetuximab in patients who express the biomarker, this current meta-analysis quantifies the prevalence of that biomarker at 33.99% in the broader patient population.

When a person is diagnosed with stomach cancer, or a specific type of cancer at the junction of the esophagus and stomach, the medical team looks for markers. These markers help doctors decide which treatments will work best for that specific person. One important marker being studied is a protein called CLDN18.2. This protein is important because it can help identify patients who might be eligible for a specific drug called zolbetuximab. Knowing how common this protein is helps doctors understand how many patients might have options for targeted therapy.

To get a clearer picture, researchers looked at data from over 12,000 patients with these types of stomach cancers. They wanted to see how often the CLDN18.2 protein was present in the cancer cells. By looking at many different studies at once, they were able to find a consistent pattern. They found that about 34% of the patients in the group showed signs of this protein. This number stayed relatively consistent across different regions, including both Asian and non-Asian populations.

While the numbers are helpful, there are some important details to keep in mind. The study looked at different types of tests and different groups of people. Because of this, the results can vary. For example, different types of testing tools showed slightly different percentages of the protein being present. Also, the study included many different types of medical settings, which means the results might look different in a local clinic versus a large research hospital.

It is important not to jump to conclusions about how many people can get a specific treatment based on this one study alone. While the study shows that about one-third of patients have this protein, it does not mean exactly one-third of patients will be able to take the drug zolbetuximab. Many other factors, like the specific way a doctor tests a patient or the specific stage of the cancer, will also play a role in deciding the best treatment plan. For patients right now, this research provides a helpful foundation for the medical community. It helps doctors understand the prevalence of this protein across large groups of people. This information helps them better understand the need for testing. While this study does not change a patient's immediate treatment plan today, it helps doctors build a better map of how common certain markers are, which helps guide future care for stomach cancer patients.

What this means for you:
About 34% of patients with certain stomach cancers have a specific protein that could be a target for treatment.

Study Details

Study typeMeta analysis
Sample sizen = 12,173
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedSep 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
BACKGROUND: Claudin 18 isoform 2 (CLDN18.2) has emerged as a clinically validated therapeutic target in gastric and gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) adenocarcinoma following the regulatory approval of zolbetuximab in combination with first-line chemotherapy. Accurate prevalence data at the clinically validated immunohistochemical threshold are essential for patient selection, healthcare resource planning, and treatment strategy. Reported prevalence estimates vary widely across studies due to differences in populations, methodologies, and immunohistochemical protocols. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to generate a robust pooled prevalence estimate of CLDN18.2 expression at the threshold used in pivotal phase III trials. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched from database inception through March 12th, 2026. Studies reporting CLDN18.2 expression in gastric or gastroesophageal junction adenocarcinoma using the ≥ 75% moderate-to-strong membranous staining threshold were included. Prevalence proportions were pooled using a random-effects model with logit transformation and restricted maximum-likelihood estimation of between-study variance. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I² statistic and Cochran's Q test, and a 95% prediction interval was calculated. Pre-specified subgroup analyses assessed antibody clone and geographic region, with additional exploratory analyses according to disease setting and specimen type. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the pooled estimate. RESULTS: Twenty-two predominantly retrospective cohort studies comprising 12,173 patients were included. The pooled prevalence of CLDN18.2 positivity using a random-effects model was 33.99% (95% CI: 30.13%-38.07%; 95% prediction interval: approximately 18%-55%), with high between-study heterogeneity (I² = 92.4%). Subgroup analysis by antibody clone showed no statistically significant difference between studies using the 43-14 A clone (32.79%, 95% CI: 28.86%-36.97%) and those using other reported antibody clones (41.74%, 95% CI: 26.76%-58.42%; p = 0.281). One study with an unreported antibody clone was excluded from this subgroup analysis. Geographic subgroup analysis excluding the multinational Shitara et al. cohort demonstrated a non-significant trend toward higher prevalence in non-Asian populations (37.85%, 95% CI: 31.59%-44.54%) compared with Asian populations (32.10%, 95% CI: 27.28%-37.34%; p = 0.169). All three sensitivity analyses confirmed robustness of the pooled estimate. No significant evidence of publication bias was detected (Egger's test p = 0.56). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately one-third of patients with gastric and GEJ adenocarcinoma express CLDN18.2 at the clinically validated ≥ 75% threshold. However, because the included studies encompassed heterogeneous disease settings and were predominantly HER2-unselected, the pooled estimate should not be interpreted directly as the proportion of patients eligible for zolbetuximab. The estimate was robust across sensitivity analyses and provides an evidence base for understanding CLDN18.2 prevalence and biomarker-testing requirements. Standardisation of immunohistochemical assessment methods is warranted to reduce between-study heterogeneity in future research.
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