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Explainable machine learning may improve risk prediction and clinical decision-making for women with FGS and HIVMachine learning could help predict treatment outcomes for women with FGS

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Key Takeaway
Consider explainable machine learning as a potential tool to improve risk prediction and decision-making in FGS and HIV.

This narrative review examines the potential of explainable machine learning (ML) to address the challenges of managing female genital schistosomiasis (FGS) in women also living with HIV. The review notes that FGS prevalence can reach up to 75% in high-burden lake regions, affecting an estimated 56 million women at risk. Furthermore, FGS is associated with increased susceptibility to HIV acquisition.

The authors synthesize evidence regarding the feasibility of interpretable models. While specific ML models for FGS are not yet established, the review notes that similar models have been successfully implemented in other infectious diseases, including malaria, tuberculosis, trachoma, and HIV prediction. These models aim to provide patient-level risk prediction and support clinical decision-making.

Several limitations are noted, including the limited current application of ML specifically to FGS, the persistent risk of reinfection despite preventive chemotherapy, and the lack of integrated FGS and HIV care. The clinical relevance of these tools remains prospective, as the feasibility of ML in this context is derived from other diseases rather than specific FGS trials. These tools may eventually inform integrated treatment strategies and risk assessment for this population.

Women living with female genital schistosomiasis (FGS) and HIV face a double burden. FGS is a parasitic infection that can make it easier for women to contract HIV. Currently, up to 56 million women are at risk of FGS in high-burden lake regions, where infection rates can reach 75%.

Researchers are looking at how machine learning can help manage these cases. While these computer models have not been specifically tested for FGS yet, they have shown promise in predicting outcomes for other diseases like malaria and tuberculosis. These models are designed to be explainable, meaning they help doctors understand why a specific prediction was made.

Using these tools could help doctors predict who is at risk of reinfection and make better decisions for patient care. However, challenges remain. Even with current medications like praziquantel, reinfection is still common, and the integration of FGS and HIV care into a single treatment plan is still limited.

What this means for you:
Machine learning may help doctors predict treatment success and reinfection risks for women with FGS and HIV.

Common questions

What is FGS and how does it affect women with HIV?

FGS is a parasitic infection. For women who also have HIV, having FGS can increase their susceptibility to acquiring the HIV virus. It is a significant health concern in lake regions where up to 75% of women may be infected.

How can machine learning help in treating these infections?

Machine learning models can help doctors predict treatment outcomes and the risk of reinfection. These models are designed to be explainable, which means they provide clear information to help doctors make better decisions for their patients.

Is it easy to prevent reinfection for women with FGS?

Currently, reinfection remains a problem even when using preventive chemotherapy. Because of this, finding better ways to integrate FGS and HIV care is a major focus for improving long-term health outcomes.

Study Details

Study typeSystematic review
EvidenceLevel 1
PublishedSep 2026
View Original Abstract ↓
Female genital schistosomiasis (FGS) remains a neglected tropical disease with profound implications for women’s health, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa where it is highly co-endemic with HIV. The World Health Organization estimates that over 56 million women are at risk of FGS, with prevalence reaching up to 75% in high-burden lake regions. Epidemiological evidence demonstrates that FGS increases susceptibility to HIV acquisition through genital lesions, mucosal immune changes, and chronic inflammation, thereby amplifying the dual burden of morbidity. Despite large-scale praziquantel mass drug administration, reinfection is common, and integration with HIV prevention and care remains limited. This review explores the potential of explainable machine learning (ML) approaches to predict treatment outcomes and reinfection risk in women living with FGS–HIV co-morbidity, offering a framework for precision public health interventions. A narrative literature synthesis was undertaken across databases including PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science, focusing on FGS epidemiology, treatment outcomes, HIV risk, and applications of ML in infectious disease modeling. Evidence was critically appraised and used to develop a conceptual ML framework. Current evidence highlights significant gaps in the integration of FGS and HIV care, limited application of ML to FGS, and persistent reinfection despite preventive chemotherapy. However, emerging ML studies in malaria, tuberculosis, trachoma, and HIV prediction illustrate the feasibility of interpretable models for infectious diseases. Explainable ML has the potential to enable patient-level risk prediction, strengthen clinical decision-making, and inform integrated FGS–HIV strategies, ultimately advancing precision interventions in high-burden settings.
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