Hydroxychloroquine did not prevent SLE progression in incomplete lupus patients in randomized trial
In a randomized, double-blind trial conducted across seven sites, 187 patients aged 15 to 49 with antinuclear antibody positivity and one to two additional criteria for systemic lupus erythematosus were randomized to hydroxychloroquine or placebo. The study followed participants at 3-month intervals over 24 months, with 180 patients included in the analysis (92 HCQ, 88 placebo). The primary outcome was the rate of accumulation of SLE features defined by the 2012 SLICC criteria.
The trial found no significant difference between hydroxychloroquine and placebo groups in preventing progression to SLE classification (24 total cases, P = 0.98) or in the development of additional SLICC criteria (55 total cases, P = 0.72). However, progression to SLE was associated with the development of specific clinical features including new malar rash, oral ulcers, joint tenderness, or pleurisy (P < 0.04). Safety and tolerability data were not reported in the available evidence.
Key limitations include the relatively small sample size and the absence of reported safety data. The study population was restricted to patients aged 15 to 49 with specific antibody profiles, which may limit generalizability to other demographic groups. While these results offer insights into SLE risk in the incomplete lupus population, they do not support routine use of hydroxychloroquine for preventing progression in this specific patient group.